Optimization Scheduling of Hydro-Wind-Solar Complementary Systems Based on Standby Flow

FANG Guo-hua, LIU Chang, DING Zi-yu

Journal of Changjiang River Scientific Research Institute ›› 2025, Vol. 42 ›› Issue (4) : 36-44.

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Journal of Changjiang River Scientific Research Institute ›› 2025, Vol. 42 ›› Issue (4) : 36-44. DOI: 10.11988/ckyyb.20231348
Water Resources

Optimization Scheduling of Hydro-Wind-Solar Complementary Systems Based on Standby Flow

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Abstract

With the access of large-scale wind power stations and solar power stations, wind energy and solar energy affect the safe and stable operation of the power system due to the lack of prediction accuracy. This paper presents an optimal scheduling method for the hydro-wind-solar complementary system based on standby flow. First, the standby flow is set according to the available water of each hydropower station based on the inflow. Then, the optimal scheduling model based on standby flow is developed. The objectives of this model are to maximize power generation and minimize the variance of residual load. Standby flow serves to mitigate the impact of inaccurate wind and solar energy predictions. Finally, a case study is conducted on the cascade hydropower station and connected wind and solar power stations along the lower Yalong River. Results show that compared with the scenario without standby flow, the power generation efficiency of the multi-energy complementary system with standby flow in typical wet month (June) and typical dry month (December) increases by 0.08% and 1.97%, respectively; and the variance of residual load decreases by more than 40%. In conclusion, setting standby flow can balance the power supply and demand of the power system while ensuring power generation efficiency, thereby guaranteeing the safe and stable operation of the power system.

Key words

wind and solar energy / standby flow / multi-energy complementary system / optimal scheduling / cascade hydropower station

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FANG Guo-hua , LIU Chang , DING Zi-yu. Optimization Scheduling of Hydro-Wind-Solar Complementary Systems Based on Standby Flow[J]. Journal of Changjiang River Scientific Research Institute. 2025, 42(4): 36-44 https://doi.org/10.11988/ckyyb.20231348

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Abstract
ERA5地表下行太阳短波辐射数据是欧洲中期天气预报中心(ECMWF)最新的,具有高时空分辨率的再分析产品,该短波辐射产品可作为陆面模式大气强迫数据之一,并在区域气候评估、农业以及太阳能资源等方面具有重要应用。本文利用中国区域2011&#x02014;2018年经过质控的91个国家级地面辐射站点观测数据,对其在中国大陆地区的适用性进行多时空尺度的评估,并与ERA-Interim、CFSR、MERRA2共3套全球大气再分析产品和1套CERES卫星反演SYN1deg的产品进行了比较。结果表明:① 在月均值尺度上,与其他再分析产品比较,ERA5产品与站点数据的Corr最高(0.939),RMSE最小(28.309 W/m<sup>2</sup>),Bias(15.4 W/m<sup>2</sup>)略大于ERA-Interim产品(13.2 W/m<sup>2</sup>);CERES卫星反演产品与站点数据的Corr为0.955,RMSE为20.042 W/m<sup>2</sup>,Bias为5.3 W/m<sup>2</sup>;② 5套产品的辐射值均高于地面观测数据,存在高估现象,总体上,ERA5产品在中国大陆地区的整体精度高于其他再分析产品,但与CERES卫星反演产品还存在一定差距,日均值比较结论亦具有相似规律。③ 分区评估结果表明在再分析产品中,ERA5产品在4个区域与观测数据都有更好的一致性,但5套产品均在南部区域表现不佳。并且与东北和北部区域相比,ERA5产品和CERES卫星反演产品在西部区域和观测数据相比的RMSE和Bias也相对偏大。
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