近年来最严格水资源管理制度在促进水资源管理方面的作用越来越显著,万元工业增加值用水量为用水效率控制红线的重要指标,体现了工业用水效率的高低。研究最严格水资源管理制度对万元工业增加值用水量的影响,对推动各地落实最严格水资源管理制度、支撑水资源管理工作具有重要的意义。以浙江省为典型案例,通过MK-P检验法分析2005—2017年万元工业增加值用水量的变化规律,并建立指标评价体系,利用改进层次分析法定量化地描述各指标的重要性,根据案例的实际情况对评价模型进行多目标决策评价。结果表明:最严格水资源管理制度实施后,指标下降明显,建立的评价体系合理,相关工作的影响权重达到了71%,工业用水效率提高,成效影响显著。
Abstract
In recent years, the most stringent water resource management system has played an increasingly significant role in promoting water resource management. Water consumption per 10,000 yuan of industrial added value, which reflects the efficiency of industrial water use, is an important indicator of the control red line for water use efficiency. Studying the impact of the most stringent water resources management system on the water consumption per 10 000 yuan of industrial added value is of great significance to promoting the implementation of the most stringent water resources management system and supporting water resources management. With Zhejiang Province as a typical case, the change rule of water consumption per 10 000 yuan of industrial added value from 2005 to 2017 is analyzed via the MK-P test method. An indicator evaluation system is established, and the importance of each indicator is depicted quantitatively using improved analytical hierarchy process (AHP). According to the actual situation of the case, the evaluation model was evaluated by multi-objective decision-making. Results show that, after the implementation of the most stringent water resource management system, the index have dropped significantly. The evaluation system is reasonable, and the influence weight of relevant work reached 71%. The most stringent water resource management system has significant influence on improving the industrial water use efficiency.
关键词
最严格水资源管理制度 /
万元工业增加值用水量 /
工业用水效率 /
MK-P检验 /
评价体系 /
改进层次分析法
Key words
the most stringent water resource management /
water consumption per 10 000 yuan of industrial added value /
industrial water use efficiency /
MK-P test /
evaluation system /
improved AHP
{{custom_sec.title}}
{{custom_sec.title}}
{{custom_sec.content}}
参考文献
[1] 吴书悦, 杨 阳, 黄显峰. 水资源管理“三条红线”控制指标体系研究[J]. 水资源保护,2014,30(5):81-85.
[2] 刘亚伟. 中国水资源利用特征及未来趋势分析[J]. 长江科学院院报, 2017, 34(1):30-39.
[3] 张国玉, 谢 晨, 李 舒,等. 2000年以来我国用水效率指标变化趋势研究[J]. 人民黄河, 2018,40(10):36-39.
[4] 李 舒, 吕志方. 窟野河径流突变点分析[J]. 人民黄河, 2015, 37(1):27-29.
[5] 曹思齐, 吴成国, 金菊良,等. 最严格水资源管理制度下的区域工业用水效率预测[J]. 水电能源科学, 2014,32(8):56-60.
[6] 邢文涛. 水运工程质量评价指标体系的研究[D]. 杭州:浙江工业大学, 2016.
[7] 徐梦珂, 陈 星, 王好芳,等. 青岛市水生态文明建设评价[J]. 水资源与水工程学报, 2017,28(6): 109-114.
[8] 刘宇恒, 邓 辉, 熊倩莹. 基于层次分析法的茂县斜坡地质灾害易发性评价[J]. 长江科学院院报, 2017, 34(5):31-35.
[9] 梁忱祥. 改进层次分析法在水库除险加固项目评估中的应用[J]. 水利规划与设计, 2016(11):80-83.
[10]陈 琳, 邹添丞, 石 杰,等. 基于层次分析法的成都市水安全评价[J]. 南水北调与水利科技, 2013, 11(4):41-45.
基金
国家自然科学基金项目(51779099,41301496);中央级公益性科研院所基本科研业务费专项(HKY-JBYW-2017-10,HKY-JBYW-2016-25)