Evaluation of Seasonal Precipitation Forecasting for the Upstream of the Three Gorges Reservoir
XIE Shuai1,2,3(), ZHANG Sen1,2, WANG Yong-qiang1,2(), LIU Yang-he3
1 Water Resources Department, Changjiang River Scientific Research Institute, Wuhan 430010, China 2 Hubei Key Laboratory of Water Resources & Eco-environmental Sciences, Changjiang River Scientific Research Institute, Wuhan 430010, China 3 Hubei Key Laboratory of Intelligent Yangtze and Hydroelectric Science, China Yangtze Power Co., Ltd., Yichang 443000, China
XIE Shuai, ZHANG Sen, WANG Yong-qiang, LIU Yang-he. Evaluation of Seasonal Precipitation Forecasting for the Upstream of the Three Gorges Reservoir[J]. Journal of Changjiang River Scientific Research Institute, 2025, 42(1): 28-34.
Table 2 Optimal forecasting models for various sub-basins with different FLTs
区域
不同预见期时最优模型
1个月
2个月
3个月
4个月
5个月
6个月
金沙江上游
ECCC3
ECCC3
ECCC3
ECCC3
ECCC3
ECCC3
金沙江中游
ECCC3
ECMWF
ECMWF
ECMWF
ECMWF
ECMWF
金沙江下游
CMCC
CMCC
CMCC
CMCC
CMCC
CMCC
向家坝— 寸滩
CMCC
CMCC
CMCC
CMCC
CMCC
CMCC
寸滩—三峡
CMCC
CMCC
CMCC
CMCC
CMCC
CMCC
雅砻江
ECMWF
ECMWF
ECMWF
ECCC3
ECCC3
ECCC3
岷江
ECMWF
ECMWF
ECMWF
ECMWF
ECMWF
ECMWF
沱江
MF
MF
MF
MF
MF
MF
嘉陵江
ECCC3
MF
MF
MF
ECMWF
ECMWF
乌江
CMCC
CMCC
CMCC
CMCC
CMCC
CMCC
乌东德上游
ECCC3
ECCC3
ECCC3
ECCC3
ECCC3
ECCC3
三峡水库上游
ECCC3
ECMWF
ECMWF
ECMWF
ECMWF
ECMWF
Table 3 Comparison of forecasting performance between the integration of best-performing models for different sub-basins and the single best-performing model
Table 3 Comparison of forecasting performance between the integration of best-performing models for different sub-basins and the single best-performing model