长江科学院院报 ›› 2013, Vol. 30 ›› Issue (1): 15-20.DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1001-5485.2013.01.003

• 工程安全与灾害防治 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于动态权重的土质岸坡稳定性模糊评价方法

李聪1,申思然2,刘江2,朱杰兵1,汪斌1    

  1. 1.长江科学院 水利部岩土力学与工程重点实验室,武汉 430010; 2.湖北宜巴高速公路建设指挥部,湖北 兴山 443700
  • 收稿日期:2011-12-15 修回日期:2012-01-19 出版日期:2013-01-01 发布日期:2013-01-16
  • 作者简介:李 聪(1985-),男,湖北监利人,博士,主要从事边坡稳定分析、非饱和岩土体渗流分析等方面的研究
  • 基金资助:

    交通部联合攻关科技项目(2009353342530);国家重点基础研究发展计划(973)项目(2011CB710603);长江科学院中央级公益性科研院所基本科研业务费项目(CKSF2011012)

Method of Evaluating Reservoir Bank Stability by Multi-level Variable Fuzzy Sets Based on  Dynamic Weight

LI Cong1, SHEN Si-ran2, LIU Jiang2, ZHU Jie-bing1, WANG Bin1   

  1. 1.Key Laboratory of Geotechnical Mechanics and Engineering of Ministry of Water Resources, Yangtze River Scientific Research Institute, Wuhan 430010, China;  2.Headquarters of Yichang Badong Highway Construction of Hubei Province, Xingshan 443700, China
  • Received:2011-12-15 Revised:2012-01-19 Online:2013-01-01 Published:2013-01-16

摘要:

库岸边坡稳定性的快速评价对工程建设及灾害治理具有重要意义。针对传统综合评价法存在指标权重相对固定的不足,提出了一种基于动态权重的边坡稳定性综合评价方法。首先建立土质岸坡的多层次多指标稳定性评价体系,然后采用简单关联函数和层次分析法分别计算指标客观权重和主观权重,通过主客观综合赋权确定一个随指标取值变化的指标动态权重,最后引入可变模糊集理论提出基于动态权重的土质岸坡稳定性多级可变模糊评价方法。运用该方法分析了三峡库区周家坡滑坡在3种库水位下降速率时的稳定性,并采用极限平衡法验证了评价结果,实证研究表明动态权重法简便实用、科学合理,计算结果比传统的静态权重法更贴近工程实际。

关键词: 动态权重, 岸坡稳定性, 可变模糊评价, 库水位, 指标

Abstract:

Evaluation of reservoir bank stability is very important in engineering construction and landslide disaster control. In order to avoid the deficiency of the fixed index weights of traditional comprehensive evaluation, a new evaluation method for slope stability based on dynamic weight is proposed. First, the index system and grading criterion for reservoir bank slope are established; second, the index objective weight and subjective weight are calculated by integrating simple relevance  function and analytic hierarchy process(AHP), hence the dynamic synthetic weight, which varies with the index characteristic values, is determined by synthesizing the index objective weight and subjective weight; finally, by introducing the theory of variable fuzzy sets, the evaluation method for reservoir bank stability using multi-level variable fuzzy sets based on dynamic weight is presented. With this method, the stability of Zhoujiapo landslide under three different water level drawdown velocities is evaluated, and the evaluation results are validated by means of limit equilibrium method. The results show that the new method based on dynamic weight is simple and practical, and it gives more reasonable results which correspond to the actual projects than the traditional method does.      

Key words: dynamic weight, stability of reservoir bank, variable fuzzy sets evaluation, reservoir water level, index   

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