长江科学院院报 ›› 2015, Vol. 32 ›› Issue (12): 41-45.DOI: 10.11988/ckyyb.20140518

• 工程安全与灾害防治 • 上一篇    下一篇

四川省山洪灾害风险评估与区划

丁文峰,杜 俊,陈小平,任洪玉,张平仓   

  1. 长江科学院 水土保持研究所,武汉 430010
  • 收稿日期:2014-06-24 出版日期:2015-12-20 发布日期:2015-12-20
  • 作者简介:丁文峰(1975-),男,河南汝州人,教授级高级工程师,博士,主要从事土地资源与环境等方面的研究,(电话)027-82926357
  • 基金资助:

    国家自然科学基金项目(41271303);国家“十二五”科技支撑计划课题(2012BAK10B04);水利部公益性行业科研专项经费(201301058,201301059);中央级公益性科研院所基本科研业务费项目(CKSF2013013/TB);长江科学院创新团队项目(CKSF2012052/TB)

Influence Mechanism of Deformation of Shuping Landslide in ThreeGorges Reservoir Area Under Water Level Variation

WANG Li1,WANG Shi-mei2,XIANG Ling2   

  1. 1.College of Science and Technology of China Three Gorges University, Yichang 443002,China;2.College of Civil Engineering & Architecture, China Three Gorges University, Yichang 443002,China
  • Received:2014-06-24 Published:2015-12-20 Online:2015-12-20

摘要:

基于GIS技术以及全国山洪灾害防治规划资料,以四川省为例,借鉴自然灾害风险概念,对山洪灾害危险度、易损度和风险度进行了量化与分析,并根据区划理论的一般原则和全国山洪灾害一、二级防治分区范围,对四川省山洪灾害风险进行了区划。结果表明:四川省山洪灾害可划分为6个风险区划单元,5个风险等级(低风险区、较低风险区、中风险区、较高风险区、高风险区),各风险等级所占全省面积的比例分别为59.9%,12.8%,14.9%,5.9%和6.5%。其中,四川盆地及周边地区山洪灾害风险水平较高,中风险区等级以上的面积占到了四川盆地及周边总面积的近80%;其次,秦巴山地区为山洪灾害次严重地区,中风险区等级以上的面积占到了区域总面积的近18%;其它几个三级区域山洪灾害风险水平不高,大多处于低风险和较低风险水平。

关键词: 山洪灾害, 风险评估, 风险区划, GIS技术, 易损性指标

Abstract:

After impoundment of the Three Gorges reservoir, numerous landslides relevant to water have the signs of deformation. Deformation of most landslides rapidly increases, especially in the process of decline of reservoir water level. Shuping landslide, about 47 km from the dam site of Three Gorges, belongs to a kind of giant ancient accumulation body. Monitoring results for several years showed that Shuping landslide strongly deformed when reservoir water level dropped, significant losses will occur if the landslide loses stability. In light of the problem, we collected monitoring data of Shuping landslide in recent years and analyzed its deformation mechanism in association with geological survey and exploration data. The results show that: 1) the fluctuation of underground water level of Shuping landslide is consistent with that of reservoir water level, but the variation of reservoir water level is relatively lagged; 2) hydrodynamic pressure occurs in the condition of decline of reservoir water level, which is unfavorable to landslide stability, at the same time, GPS data indicate intense deformation of the landslide with typical features of hydrodynamic pressure-type landslide; 3) monitoring results measured by auto-recording displacement meter show that overall deformation is the main kind of deformations for Shuping landslide after impoundment with water level of 175 m, and it has deformation features of tractive landslide whose deformation in the bottom leads to slip in the top.

Key words: Shuping landslide, landslide monitoring, hydrodynamic pressure, deformation mechanism, Three Gorges reservoir

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