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  • Engineering Safety and Disaster Prevention
    LIU Hao, LI Hai-feng, WANG Yong, HUANG Hao-liang
    Journal of Changjiang River Scientific Research Institute. 2025, 42(11): 149-156. https://doi.org/10.11988/ckyyb.20240965
    Abstract (188) PDF (239) HTML (30)   Knowledge map   Save

    Hydraulic concrete structures are prone to various types of defects during construction and service. These defects are primarily categorized into three major types: apparent defects, internal defects, and defects at structure-foundation connections. Apparent defects, such as surface cracks, spalling, and cavitation, are primarily induced by thermal stress, shrinkage deformation, and environmental erosion. Specifically, the scouring and abrasion from sediment-laden flow can lead to surface spalling, while high-velocity water flow tends to cause cavitation. Internal defects mainly manifest as honeycombs and voids, which are primarily caused by issues like entrapped air bubbles and grout leakage from formwork due to the difficulties in underwater vibration. These issues are particularly prone to occur in areas with dense reinforcement or in mass concrete. Defects at structure-foundation connections primarily include misalignment and differential settlement, mainly resulting from the combined effects of multiple complex factors, such as repeated hydraulic pressure, uneven foundation settlement, and temperature variations. For concealed and hard-to-access underwater structural defects, non-destructive testing (NDT) technologies demonstrate distinct advantages. This study systematically reviews the research progress on four major NDT methods: optical imaging, sonar scanning, sub-bottom profiling, and impact-echo method. Optical imaging can effectively identify apparent defects through image analysis. However, affected by the optical properties of water, it suffers from problems such as poor image quality and limited identification accuracy. Sonar scanning can overcome the limitations of turbid water and achieve large-scale detection. However, its imaging resolution is relatively low, and it lacks a systematic correspondence between defect features and image features. Sub-bottom profiling, based on the strong penetration capability of low-frequency sound waves, shows potential in detecting internal defects of underwater structures and foundation conditions. However, its application research in the hydraulic engineering field remains relatively limited. The impact-echo method enables the detection of internal defects by analyzing the propagation characteristics of stress waves, unaffected by water and steel reinforcement. However, it still faces challenges in signal interpretation and quantitative evaluation. Based on the analysis and discussion of current research on NDT technologies for underwater structural defects, future development of these technologies should focus on the following directions: (1) establishing a deep learning-driven multi-source data fusion framework to enhance the capability of defect feature recognition; (2) developing opto-acoustic collaborative detection technologies that integrate the detailed resolution capability of optical imaging with the environmental adaptability of sonar; (3) developing more advanced stress-wave signal processing algorithms and quantitative evaluation models to improve the detection accuracy of the impact-echo method. Through multi-technology integration and intelligent development, it is expected that more comprehensive and accurate detection and assessment of underwater structural defects can be achieved, thereby providing strong technical support for the safe operation of hydraulic engineering projects.

  • Engineering Safety and Disaster Prevention
    DENG Mao-lin, WAN Hang, ZHOU Lu-lu, SU Peng-min, ZU Quan-lei, ZHOU Yue-feng, YI Qing-lin, ZUO Qing-jun
    Journal of Changjiang River Scientific Research Institute. 2025, 42(11): 157-165. https://doi.org/10.11988/ckyyb.20240846
    Abstract (98) PDF (169) HTML (36)   Knowledge map   Save

    [Objective] Dynamic groundwater changes represent one of the key controlling factors in the initiation of soil landslides. Investigating their response characteristics and mechanisms under rainfall is crucial for understanding landslide stability and evolutionary processes. [Methods] Taking the typical thick soil landslide—Tanjiawan landslide—in the Three Gorges Reservoir area as the research subject, this study systematically analysed the influence mechanism of groundwater level dynamics under rainfall by relying on multi-year continuous high-precision GNSS surface displacement data, automated groundwater level monitoring data, regional rainfall records, and information obtained from repeated field geological surveys on landslide geological structure, sliding mass structure characteristics, and groundwater recharge and discharge conditions. [Results] Deformation of the Tanjiawan landslide was concentrated in the mid-front and left-side areas and was closely related to rainfall events. Antecedent cumulative rainfall, to a certain extent, determined the slope's deformation response to a subsequent single heavy rainfall event. When cumulative rainfall was sufficient, even moderate single rainfall intensity may induce significant deformation. Groundwater level changes and rainfall infiltration showed distinct spatiotemporal correlation. The rate of water level rise was influenced by rainfall infiltration conditions and jointly controlled by both the antecedent effect and the concurrent effect of rainfall intensity. After rainfall infiltration, dynamic groundwater migration followed two main paths: one along route AB rapidly converged on the frontal area, generating strong hydrodynamic pressure; the other migrated slowly within the sliding mass, producing a cumulative effect on overall water content and pore water pressure. The hydrodynamic pressure generated along route AB, when coupled with local topographic conditions, directly drove deformation of the I-1 sliding mass, triggering local accelerated deformation or even failure. [Conclusions] Slope deformation trends are significantly controlled by dynamic groundwater changes, whereas slope stability is, to a certain extent, constrained by the duration of peak groundwater level. Prolonged high water levels markedly reduce slope stability. Moreover, monitoring data shows a certain lag between groundwater level rise and slope deformation rate, a characteristic that provides important reference value for early identification and early warning of thick soil landslides. This study provides a theoretical basis for research on the deformation mechanism, early identification, and early warning of soil landslides under rainfall conditions.

  • Engineering Safety And Disaster Prevention
    LÜ Zong-jie, LI Jun-jie, ZHANG Xue-wu
    Journal of Changjiang River Scientific Research Institute. 2025, 42(9): 156-166. https://doi.org/10.11988/ckyyb.20240836
    Abstract (634) PDF (257) HTML (71)   Knowledge map   Save

    [Objective] In underwater engineering inspection, the turbid shallow water environment severely hinders the performance of machine vision-based methods for detecting surface defects in underwater structures. To address the challenge of defect detection in turbid water, this study proposes a lightweight three-stage underwater defect detection method that integrates polarization imaging and deep learning techniques. A defect detection model, named PCC-YOLOv7, is developed. [Methods] First, polarization imaging technology was combined with a polarization restoration model to analyze the polarization characteristics of light waves. This approach effectively suppressed scattering interference in turbid water, thereby achieving clear imaging of turbid environments and restoring defect images. Consequently, defect details obscured by scattering particles were reconstructed. Second, the CAA-SRGAN (Coordinate Attention ACON-Super Resolution Generative Adversarial Network) model was introduced. By employing an improved attention mechanism and a generative adversarial network structure, super-resolution processing was performed on the restored images. This yielded high-resolution underwater defect images, providing a high-quality data foundation for subsequent precise detection. Finally, a defect detection model based on CBAM-YOLOv7 was established, where the convolutional block attention module (CBAM) was utilized to enhance the network’s focus on defect features. Leveraging the advanced YOLOv7 object detection framework, common underwater structural defects, including cracks, holes, and spalling can be rapidly and accurately identified. These three sub-models worked collaboratively to form a comprehensive detection system. [Results] For image restoration, the polarization restoration model exhibited superior performance in metrics such as image clarity and color fidelity compared to current restoration methods. The CAA-SRGAN model generated images with notable improvements in detail texture preservation and resolution enhancement. The CBAM-YOLOv7 defect detection model achieved higher accuracy in both defect localization and classification. A comprehensive evaluation of the PCC-YOLOv7 defect detection model revealed an average improvement of 33.5% in mean average precision (mAP0.5, mAP0.75, and mAP0.5-0.95). Compared to existing models, PCC-YOLOv7 significantly enhanced defect detection performance in turbid underwater environments, effectively improving both recognition rate and detection efficiency. [Conclusions] The PCC-YOLOv7 defect detection model innovatively integrates polarization imaging technology with deep learning. Through the collaborative operation of three functionally complementary sub-models, it successfully addresses the challenge of detecting surface defects in underwater structures in turbid water. Compared to existing models, the proposed model demonstrates enhanced adaptability to turbid underwater detection scenarios. It enables stable and efficient detection of surface defects in underwater structures under complex turbid conditions, providing a practical technical solution for the safety assessment and maintenance of underwater structures. Future work may focus on further optimizing the model structure and extending its application to more underwater scenarios.

  • Engineering Safety And Disaster Prevention
    ZHOU Fu-xiong, ZHAO Xun-li, LIU Hong-wei, LU Xiang, PEI Liang, CHEN Chen
    Journal of Changjiang River Scientific Research Institute. 2025, 42(9): 167-173. https://doi.org/10.11988/ckyyb.20240703
    Abstract (93) PDF (122) HTML (37)   Knowledge map   Save

    [Objective] The material composition of high core rockfill dams is complex. Under the influence of hydraulic loading, temperature, and other complex environmental factors during long-term service, the permeability coefficients of these materials inherently exhibit time-varying characteristics, significantly influencing seepage stability and overall dam safety. This study aims to address the limitations of existing research, which predominantly focuses on static parameter inversion or non-time-varying risk assessment, and lacks systematic consideration of the time-varying patterns of material parameters and the influence of long-term operation. [Methods] A time-varying risk analysis method for seepage failure in high core rockfill dams was proposed, integrating data decomposition, finite element simulation, time-varying parameter inversion, and failure risk analysis. First, based on multi-year measured seepage pressure data of the dam, empirical mode decomposition was used to extract the periodic and trend components. Combined with orthogonal experiments and response surface methodology, an inverse surrogate model for the permeability coefficients of the high core rockfill dam and its foundation was constructed. Subsequently, through optimization using a genetic algorithm, this study investigated and revealed the time-varying patterns and characterization functions of permeability coefficients. Finally, based on the time-varying patterns of permeability coefficients and the Monte Carlo method, a time-varying risk analysis model for seepage failure in high core rockfill dams was established to achieve the dynamic risk assessment of seepage failure in the dam structure. [Results] This method was applied to the Pubugou Dam project. The results showed that the relative error of permeability coefficient inversion for both the dam and foundation was less than 2%, with an average relative error of 0.4%. Seepage field simulations based on the inverted parameters showed that the distribution of seepage pressure inside the dam followed the rising and falling trend of the reservoir water level and was consistent with the patterns observed in the measured seepage pressure data. This conformed to the typical seepage field distribution patterns of high core rockfill dams, indicating a high level of inversion accuracy. Furthermore, the permeability coefficients of both the core wall and the overburden layer showed time-varying patterns of gradual increase and stabilization. Reliability analysis of seepage failure in the dam and its foundation indicated that the reliability indicator (β) of the dam consistently exceeded the design target value during the operational period, suggesting that the overall risk of seepage failure was low. Additionally, the reliability indicator for seepage failure in the dam and its foundation exhibited periodic fluctuations with changes in the reservoir water level, showing a generally negative correlation between the reliability indicator and reservoir water levels and a positive correlation between failure probabilities and water levels. This was generally consistent with the seepage characteristics and patterns of dam structures under different water level conditions, validating the applicability of the proposed time-varying risk analysis model. The results confirmed that the reliability indicator for seepage failure of the Pubugou Dam complied with regulatory requirements. [Conclusions] The method developed in this study integrates time-varying parameter inversion, modeling of time-varying patterns, failure path search, surrogate model construction, and time-varying risk analysis. By dynamically identifying and updating time-varying parameters in real time, it enables accurate simulation of seepage failure processes and full lifecycle monitoring of risk evolution, thereby enhancing the timeliness and accuracy of safety risk assessments for high dam structures.

  • Engineering Safety and Disaster Prevention
    GAO Su, CHEN Cheng
    Journal of Changjiang River Scientific Research Institute. 2025, 42(7): 181-189. https://doi.org/10.11988/ckyyb.20240952
    Abstract (104) PDF (131) HTML (35)   Knowledge map   Save

    [Objective] The attitude of a shield machine is a critical parameter that significantly affects tunnel construction, directly determining construction safety and project quality. To ensure that shield tunneling closely aligns with the designed alignment and to improve engineering construction quality, this study proposes a novel shield attitude prediction model, called WM-CTA, based on deep learning technology. [Methods] The WM-CTA model primarily consists of two frameworks: a data preprocessing module (Wavelet Transform and Maximum Information Coefficient) and a prediction module (Convolutional Neural Network and Attention Mechanism). The preprocessing module, composed of Wavelet Transform (WT) and the Maximum Information Coefficient (MIC) algorithms, was used to perform noise reduction and parameter correlation analysis on the raw data, thereby generating enhanced inputs. The Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) integrated with a channel-wise attention mechanism explored parameter weight differences and extracted local data features. Subsequently, the Temporal Convolutional Network (TCN) was employed to capture temporal dependencies and dynamic variations in the data. Finally, the Attention Mechanism (AM) was applied to extract key temporal node information. The model’s prediction performance was validated using monitoring data from a section of a shield tunnel under construction in Shenyang. Experiments were conducted on data for noise reduction and correlation analysis, followed by analysis of the model’s prediction performance and generalization ability. [Results] Experimental results showed that the monitoring curves processed with wavelet transform had improved smoothness with reduced frequency of abrupt changes between data points. Correlation analysis indicated that shield construction parameters exerted greater influence on shield attitude than soil parameters, enabling dimensionality reduction of input parameters. Compared with four baseline models, the proposed WM-CTA model achieved minimum MAE and RMSE and maximum R2 value. [Conclusion] The experiments verify that the WM-CTA model delivers optimal prediction performance with high computational efficiency. Furthermore, the model exhibits strong generalization ability, providing valuable references for similar future engineering projects.

  • Engineering Safety and Disaster Prevention
    HAO Ze-jia, SHI Yu-qun, CHENG Bo-chao, HE Jin-ping
    Journal of Changjiang River Scientific Research Institute. 2025, 42(5): 208-214. https://doi.org/10.11988/ckyyb.20240409
    Abstract (190) PDF (180) HTML (49)   Knowledge map   Save

    [Objective] Dam deformation results from the nonlinear effects of multiple complex environmental factors. Traditional mathematical models for dam deformation monitoring have difficulty reflecting the complex nonlinear relationships between effect variables and environmental variables, often leading to unsatisfactory prediction results. By leveraging the long-short-term memory (LSTM) model and particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm from artificial intelligence technology, a combined PSO-LSTM dam deformation prediction model is established, offering a novel approach for enhancing the accuracy of dam deformation prediction. [Methods] By applying PSO for global optimization of LSTM hyperparameters, a combined PSO-LSTM dam deformation prediction model was established. This method both addressed the deficiencies of traditional prediction models in describing nonlinearity between variables and enhanced the appropriateness of LSTM hyperparameter values. The specific methods included: constructing environmental variable factors based on the interaction mechanism between dam deformation and environmental variables; inputting deformation training sets to determine the range of hyperparameters to be optimized and training the network hyperparameters using the LSTM model; setting the particle position information as the hyperparameters to be optimized and using the PSO algorithm to optimize the LSTM hyperparameters; and outputting dam deformation predicted values at different prediction time points using the parameters obtained from training. [Results] Utilizing deformation monitoring data from concrete gravity dams and concrete arch dams, this study established a traditional monitoring statistical model, a standalone LSTM prediction model, and a combined PSO-LSTM model. The results showed that: (1) the combined PSO-LSTM model achieved the smallest RMSE and MAE values and the largest R2 value, indicating excellent prediction accuracy. Compared to statistical models for monitoring and standalone LSTM models, it demonstrated significantly improved prediction performance. (2) Due to its strong nonlinear learning capabilities, the combined PSO-LSTM model could effectively extract nonlinear characteristics from complex datasets, thereby achieving good prediction performance even with poor-quality deformation monitoring data. [Conclusion] (1) The combined prediction model established based on LSTM and PSO algorithms effectively extracts nonlinear characteristics between environmental variables and effect variables, leading to improved prediction performance. (2) The PSO-LSTM prediction model demonstrates good versatility. Its fundamental principles apply not only to concrete dams but also to earth-rock dams and other hydraulic engineering projects. However, when applying the model, the configuration of neurons in the LSTM model’s input layer must be tailored to the structural characteristics, operational conditions, and influencing factors of different dam types.

  • Engineering Safety and Disaster Prevention
    DENG Mao-lin, LIANG Zhi-kang, WANG Guo-fa, WANG Biao, ZHOU Lu-lu, WAN Hang, PENG Xu, SU Peng-min, ZHU Xiao-han
    Journal of Changjiang River Scientific Research Institute. 2025, 42(5): 215-222. https://doi.org/10.11988/ckyyb.20240195
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    [Objective] Since the impoundment of the Three Gorges Dam in 2003, many cataclastic bedding landslides in the reservoir area have been reactivated due to the influence of external factors such as reservoir water level fluctuations, variations in groundwater levels, and rainfall. These landslides are typically large in scale, exhibit complex deformation mechanisms, and pose significant challenges for early warning and disaster prevention. This paper attempts to establish an interaction model linking rainfall, reservoir water, and groundwater with groundwater as the main triggering factor of landslide deformation, and to further reveal the dynamic migration patterns of groundwater under the coupled effects of reservoir water level fluctuations and rainfall. [Methods] The study took the Muyubao Landslide, a cataclastic bedding landslide in the Three Gorges Reservoir area, as a case study. By integrating data statistics with field investigations, a statistical analysis was conducted on nearly seven years of manual and automated monitoring data, field investigation materials, and hydrometeorological information to investigate the quantitative relationship among reservoir water level, rainfall, and groundwater level, as well as the interaction between groundwater level and slope displacement and deformation. [Results] The research results indicated that: (1) A groundwater level of 175 meters at the front platform of the slope served as the critical threshold for the initiation of landslide deformation. When the groundwater level at the front platform approached 175 m, deformation began under the influence of buoyancy-induced weight reduction. When the groundwater level at the front platform exceeded 175 m, both buoyancy-induced reduction and dynamic water pressure acted on the slope, with the effect of dynamic water pressure intensifying as the groundwater level rose.(2) Statistical analysis of monitoring data revealed thresholds for rainfall-induced groundwater level rise. Ten consecutive days of rainfall totaling 150 mm increased the groundwater level at the front of the slope by 3.22 m to 6.88 m. In the case of 300 mm of cumulative rainfall within 30 days, the groundwater level at the front of the slope increased by approximately 10 m. A “lag effect” was observed in groundwater response to rainfall, typically lasting 3 to 13 days.(3) From October to December 2017, rainfall occurred on 27 out of first 32 days, totaling 310.6 mm. As a result, the groundwater level in borehole QSK1 at the front platform of the slope rose to 184.2 m, nearly 10 m above the highest reservoir water level (175 m). Over the 72-day period, the slope displacement totaled 88.5 mm. [Conclusion] (1) Groundwater level fluctuations significantly precede slope deformation. Given known reservoir water levels, it is possible to forecast groundwater level based on reservoir water level and rainfall data, and further predict slope deformation based on the groundwater level. This approach provides a strong basis for landslide early warning and prediction.(2) The effective contribution of rainfall to groundwater recharge varies with different types of rainfall. Compared to intense rainstorms, prolonged and continuous rainfall causes a more significant rise in groundwater levels, especially around periods of high reservoir water levels, posing greater risks to slope stability. Therefore, in landslide disaster prevention, the role of rainfall and groundwater should be carefully considered. It is crucial to optimize the layout of monitoring points, enhance real-time automated groundwater monitoring capacity and service quality, and better understand the impact of groundwater dynamics on slope deformation.

  • Engineering Safety and Disaster Prevention
    LI Jian, TAO Bo-wen, CAI Qi, YAO Jian-qiang, WANG Gan
    Journal of Changjiang River Scientific Research Institute. 2025, 42(3): 148-155. https://doi.org/10.11988/ckyyb.20231316
    Abstract (159) PDF (156) HTML (59)   Knowledge map   Save
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    An intelligent prediction model for shield tunneling parameters accounting for geological conditions is presented by employing a geological data processing technique which integrates in-situ stress extraction and tunneling section stratum information coding. The method encompasses data acquisition, preprocessing and decomposition, and model construction, training and testing, as well as result evaluation and analysis. The model is applied to predict the shield parameters for the large-diameter slurry shield tunnel project of the Luyuan North Street section on the Beijing-Harbin Expressway within the Beijing East Sixth Ring Road reconstruction project. Findings reveal that accounting for geological conditions enhances the prediction accuracy of shield thrust and cutter-head torque by 38.53% and 44.86%, respectively. This improvement secures the construction safety of subsequent shield tunneling operations. The research outcomes can serve as a reference for future similar projects.

  • Engineering Safety and Disaster Prevention
    WANG Peng, LI Wei-cheng, DUAN Hang, KE Chuan-fang, GE Li-cheng, JIN Xiao
    Journal of Changjiang River Scientific Research Institute. 2025, 42(3): 156-163. https://doi.org/10.11988/ckyyb.20231211
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    Continuous slope monitoring in reservoirs and dams using ground-based synthetic aperture radar interferometry (GB-InSAR) is vulnerable to atmospheric environmental fluctuations. These fluctuations can cause inaccuracies in deformation results derived from interferogram sequences. Moreover, processing large volumes of continuous GB-SAR images is time-consuming, which negatively affects the overall efficiency of GB-InSAR and the feasibility of quasi-real-time deformation analysis applications. To tackle these problems, this paper presents a uniform grid sampling method and interferometric stacking technique based on the phase gradient building on the conventional polynomial atmospheric correction method. A polynomial atmospheric correction method based on downsampled high-quality pixels (HQPs) is then constructed. This method is applied to monitor the deformation of the high slope on the right bank during the construction of the Huangdeng Hydropower Station. Experimental results show that the root mean square error (RMSE) of the binary polynomial model averages 0.039 5 rad, significantly outperforming that of the unitary model and other conventional correction methods. The average RMSE of the proposed method is 0.024 0 rad, comparable to the accuracy before downsampling. However, the overall solution time reduces notably from 2.32 h to 0.80 h. This indicates that the proposed method can significantly improve the efficiency of continuous image atmospheric correction while maintaining modeling accuracy, offering effective technical support for slope safety monitoring.

  • ENGINEERING SAFETY AND DISASTER PREVENTION
    TONG Guang-qin, GENG Jun, ZHENG Dong, CHEN Zi-han, ZHANG Chi, XUE Yi-chao
    Journal of Changjiang River Scientific Research Institute. 2025, 42(2): 155-164. https://doi.org/10.11988/ckyyb.20231049
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    The service time and time-varying characteristics of safety monitoring instruments in hydropower projects are critical factors affecting the design, implementation, and operational management of engineering safety monitoring. However, there is limited research on the time-varying behavior of these instruments both in China and abroad. In this study we collected actual large-sample data on the service performance of safety monitoring instruments from ten hydropower projects in China. Important time nodes for the ten projects were summarized, and the total failure rates of monitoring instruments in each project were calculated, revealing the time-varying patterns of failure rates. Results indicate that: 1)During the construction phase, the failure rate increment model of monitoring instruments in seven projects follows a normal distribution, with the failure rate increment in six projects initially increasing and then decreasing. The inflection point occurs at 51%-84% of the construction period. The failure rate of monitoring instruments in three projects consistently increased throughout the construction phase. 2)During the operational phase, the failure rates of monitoring instruments exhibited a steady upward trend, conforming to a linear model. The time-varying models proposed in this paper effectively predict the changing failure rates of safety monitoring instruments in hydropower projects.

  • Engineering Safety and Disaster Prevention
    NIU Yun-gang, MA Feng-hai, WANG Qiong-yi
    Journal of Changjiang River Scientific Research Institute. 2024, 41(9): 130-137. https://doi.org/10.11988/ckyyb.20230504
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    To investigate the deformation characteristics of retaining piles in the footwall influenced by normal faults, a case study of a foundation pit project in Shenzhen City was conducted using a comprehensive approach that included numerical simulations and field measurements. The study examined how different fault slip amounts, dip angles, and positions affect the deformation of retaining piles in the footwall’s influence zone. Sensitivity analysis and orthogonal experiments were carried out to assess the impact of these fault parameters. Results revealed that deformation of the retaining piles decreased under the normal fault, with the center of gravity shifting downward. The upper sections of the piles experienced more significant deformation compared to the lower sections. Deformation was inversely proportional to both the fault slip amount and dip angle, and directly proportional to the distance from the fault to the foundation pit. Specifically, the maximum deformation rate, rZmax/Δ), decreased exponentially with increasing fault slip amount and dip angle, but increased logarithmically with increasing distance from the fault. Sensitivity analysis showed that dip angle had the most significant impact on the maximum deformation of the retaining piles, followed by slip amount, with the fault position having the least influence. By fitting data from 64 orthogonal experiments, a strong linear relationship was established between the maximum deformation Uhm and the index η(θ π T 180 ° S).Consequently,a predictive model for the maximum deformation of retaining piles in the footwall’s influence zone was developed, along with a corresponding predictive equation for this project. These findings offer valuable insights for deformation control in foundation pit projects located in normal fault areas with similar geological conditions.

  • Engineering Safety and Disaster Prevention
    ZHU Xiao-wei, YUAN Zhan-liang, LI Hong-chao
    Journal of Changjiang River Scientific Research Institute. 2024, 41(9): 138-145. https://doi.org/10.11988/ckyyb.20230194
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    Traditional single-model prediction methods suffer from issues like low accuracy, susceptibility to noise, and limited generalization capability. To address these challenges, we propose a novel approach for predicting concrete dam deformation by integrating the Beta Prior Principal Component Analysis (BP-PCA) and the Water Cycle Algorithm (WCA). Initially, the BP-PCA model decomposes deformation data into multiple scales, effectively reducing noise. This decomposition transforms the intricate nonlinear and non-stationary stochastic process into a set of principal components with simplified structures. Simultaneously, it enhances noise robustness by suppressing noise during the decomposition process. Subsequently, we employ the Water Cycle Algorithm optimized Support Vector Machine (WCA-SVM) to construct prediction models for each principal component. Finally, we integrate the prediction outcomes from multiple principal components to derive the final prediction result. The relative prediction error is minimized to 1.07%, with a root mean square error of 0.065. Compared to the three methods included in the comparative analysis, our approach yields over 62% improvement in prediction performance, demonstrating superior noise robustness and generalization capability.

  • Engineering Safety And Disaster Prevention
    BEN Yan-qi, YI Wu, WEI Zhao-heng, ZHOU Ying, LIU Wei, DENG Xin-yu
    Journal of Changjiang River Scientific Research Institute. 2024, 41(7): 148-157. https://doi.org/10.11988/ckyyb.20230139
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    The step-like evolution of landslide represents the fluctuating behavior of landslides influenced by external factors during the isokinetic deformation phase. Step-like landslide is characterized by extended deformation cycles, intricate mechanisms, and challenges in disaster early-warning. By analyzing the deformation-time curves of step-like landslide, we introduced the concept of “one rainfall process” and defined multiple rainfall intervals in the monitoring sequence. Subsequently, we categorized the warning process into two modes: the previous rainfall-plus the current rainfall pattern, and the current rainfall pattern. With cause-time-space as significant indices for landslide warning, we established a holistic landslide early-warning criterion model, and designed a dynamic early-warning system for Landslide No. 1 at Machi Village as a case study. By correlating geological conditions and monitoring data with a profound analysis of deformation evolution patterns and warning thresholds, we observed that: 1) The landslide deformation mode is predominantly traction-related, demonstrating a typical rainfall-triggered step-like behavior. 2) The effective early rainfall duration is 10 days. The rainfall thresholds are 24 mm and 32 mm respectively under the previous plus current rainfall mode, and 37 mm under the current rainfall mode. 3) With the threshold values for rainfall and displacement rate as the Grade III yellow early-warning central boundary, we established a comprehensive dynamic grading early-warning system that transitions from traditional threshold warning to process warning. This shift enhances the precision and efficiency of landslide prediction and management.
  • Engineering Safety and Disaster Prevention
    GAO Zhi-liang, TIAN Ling-yun, PANG Lei , CHU Chuan-qi
    Journal of Changjiang River Scientific Research Institute. 2024, 41(6): 143-149. https://doi.org/10.11988/ckyyb.20230022
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    The aim of this research is to explore the impact of the 6.8 magnitude earthquake in Luding County,Ganzi Prefecture of Sichuan Province on Dagangshan High Arch Dam on September 5,2022. According to the monitoring data of 21 earthquake sensors installed across the dam body and its foundation,we analyzed the time and frequency domains of the seismic recordings from the Luding earthquake to unravel the dynamic response patterns of Dagangshan High Arch Dam during the earthquake. Findings reveal substantial displacements and accelerations along the dam crest and the abutments on both sides. Notably,the highest recorded acceleration peak,reaching 576.6 cm/s2,was found at the No.6 dam section atop the crest. The seismic impact on Dagangshan High Arch Dam manifests prominently within the frequency spectrum of 0.5 to 8 Hz. Moreover,the dam’s towering stature accentuates ground motion response,particularly amplifying peak accelerations along the riverbanks. Post-earthquake assessment indicates the dam’s operational stability with minimal impact on its overall integrity. However,vigilance is warranted for the dam abutments and adjacent slopes,necessitating meticulous observation and maintenance measures.
  • Engineering Safety and Disaster Prevention
    LI Ming-liang, LÜ Mei-jie, HOU Meng-yuan, ZHU Hao
    Journal of Changjiang River Scientific Research Institute. 2024, 41(6): 150-155. https://doi.org/10.11988/ckyyb.20230595
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    In addressing the substantial data volume within landslide monitoring databases and the lengthy processing times due to multiple database scans required for association rule analysis, we introduce the Eclat association rule algorithm into landslide monitoring data mining. This approach involves analyzing the deformation of the Bazimen landslide using the K-means clustering method and the Eclat algorithm. Through comprehensive investigation, we identify six factors from rainfall monitoring values and reservoir water level monitoring values for data mining and analysis. By uncovering the correlations of three rainfall factors and three reservoir water level factors with the displacement of multiple measurement points in the Bazimen landslide, we extract eight association rules with a high confidence level from all excavated correlation rules derived from the spatiotemporal monitoring big data of the Bazimen landslide. This analysis reveals effective information of rainfall and water level influencing landslide movement. The findings indicate the potential widespread applicability of this data mining method due to its high accuracy in monitoring data research, particularly in the analysis and prediction of accumulation landslides within reservoir areas.
  • Engineering Safety And Disaster Prevention
    WANG Jin-shui, CHEN Jian-gang, WANG Xi-an, LI Xiang-ning, XU Wen-jing
    Journal of Changjiang River Scientific Research Institute. 2024, 41(5): 171-178. https://doi.org/10.11988/ckyyb.20221624
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    Debris flows resulting from extreme precipitation exhibit extensive scale, severe erosion along their paths, and substantial sediment deposition, necessitating the implementation of cascade check dam projects in small watersheds for hazard mitigation. In the Wenchuan earthquake-affected area, we investigated 33 typical debris flow gullies and obtained characteristic parameters for 105 check dams, along with the erosion pattern changes in gullies under the influence of cascade check dams. We summarized the types of check dams and their identification criteria and proposed four combinations of solid dams and open dams, as well as two back-silting modes under different spacings of cascade dams. We further analyzed the effects of characteristic patterns of cascade dam (dam type combination mode and back-silting mode) on channel’s erosion and deposition pattern (slope reduction coefficient due to sedimentation and relative erosion depth coefficient). The results indicated that the combination of solid and permeable dams (SO mode and OS mode) significantly influenced the back-silting pattern of channel, and the interactive back-silting mode had a notable impact on deposition pattern, while the independent back-silting operation mode yielded stronger erosion effect. The research findings offer reference for the selection of check dams and the optimization of dam spacing of cascade dams in small watersheds.
  • Engineering Safety And Disaster Prevention
    QIN Shi-he, DUAN Bin, WANG Hai-sheng, LI Mei-ping, WEI Chang-li
    Journal of Changjiang River Scientific Research Institute. 2024, 41(5): 179-186. https://doi.org/10.11988/ckyyb.20221732
    Abstract (190) PDF (482)   Knowledge map   Save
    To comprehensively understand the characteristics and distribution of geological hazards at the Jinchuan Hydropower Station located upstream of the Dadu River and its surrounding regions, we focused our research on a 40-kilometer section encompassing the dam and reservoir area, main stream, and tributaries. Employing 1∶10 000 high-precision remote sensing image interpretation, unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) photography, engineering geological surveys, and profile measurements, we classified and quantified geological disasters, and further examined the correlations between geological hazards and various disaster-inducing factors including topography, geological structure, engineering geological rock formations, slope structure, and hydrogeological conditions. Our findings identified 38 geological hazards. The predominant hazard types were debris flows, collapses, riverbank failures, unstable slopes, and landslides. Debris flows and collapses were the most frequent, constituting 28.9% and 23.7% of the occurrences, respectively. Specifically, collapses, landslides, unstable slopes, deposit bodies, and riverside collapses predominantly occurred in the Dadu River valley at elevations below 2 600 meters. Landslides and unstable slopes typically located at slope gradients between 25° and 45°, collapse-prone areas generally had slopes greater than 50°, and deposit bodies and riverside collapses developed on slopes ranging from 20° to 35°. The majority of geological hazards were found in areas with relief fluctuations between 200 m and 500 m. Significantly, 48.1% of the hazards occurred on slopes with planar curvature, while 59.3% were associated with slopes having profile curvature. Eight rock groups were identified within the study area, with most geological disasters occurring within 100 meters from the river. These results provide a more scientific and accurate foundation for regional geological disaster prevention and mitigation strategies.
  • Engineering Safety And Disaster Prevention
    SHI Hua-tang, JI Yang, XIAO Bi, ZHONG Kun
    Journal of Changjiang River Scientific Research Institute. 2024, 41(4): 174-180. https://doi.org/10.11988/ckyyb.20230883
    Abstract (305) PDF (567)   Knowledge map   Save
    The grouting process for the foundation of earth-rock dams, including core wall rockfill dams and panel rockfill dams, is influenced by various factors such as limited cover depth, blasting operations, unloading processes, and the presence of weak rock formations. These factors often lead to challenges such as significant uplift, fracturing, and seepage during grouting operations, posing difficulties in achieving effective injection and ensuring quality, consequently jeopardizing the reservoir's normal water storage. We analyzed the key design issues such as the selection of foundation rock mass, layout of grouting corridors, arrangement of grouting holes, determination of grouting and inspection pressures. Furthermore, on the basis of specifications and engineering practice, we discussed the grouting methodologies, methods for managing external seepage, selection of blocking devices, control of uplift, and pressure augmentation strategies. Finally, we propose the method of determining curtain grouting pressure and inspection pressure, the systematic sealing and ramdom sealing for leakage, the criteria for selecting blocking devices, and the grouting control based on P-Q relation to offer reference for similar dam foundation grouting.
  • Engineering Safety And Disaster Prevention
    WANG Xing-chao
    Journal of Changjiang River Scientific Research Institute. 2024, 41(4): 181-186. https://doi.org/10.11988/ckyyb.20230124
    Abstract (183) PDF (386)   Knowledge map   Save
    In water-filled rubber dams, air often accumulates at the top of the dam bag following water filling, which is challenging to completely remove. Similarly, when the rubber dam collapses and discharges water, residual tailwater frequently remains at the bottom of the dam bag, resisting complete discharge. To tackle these common problems, a system for efficiently pumping and discharging accumulated air and tailwater in rubber dams has been developed. Based on an analysis of the underlying causes and potential consequences of these problems, this paper introduces conceptual design principles and methodologies for the pumping and discharging pipeline, power device, and control system. Through verification via typical application examples, it has been demonstrated that this system effectively mitigates faults caused by accumulated air and tailwater along with associated challenges, and also ensures the rubber dam impounds at maximum water level and discharges at maximum discharge section. This innovation offers valuable insights for the meticulous design of rubber dam projects and the enhancement of traditional design approaches.
  • Engineering Safety and Disaster Prevention
    FENG Yu, ZENG Huai-en, TU Peng-fei
    Journal of Changjiang River Scientific Research Institute. 2024, 41(3): 126-133. https://doi.org/10.11988/ckyyb.20221323
    Abstract (186) PDF (362)   Knowledge map   Save
    CSCD(1)
    To address the issue of weak mechanical interpretation in the time-series decomposition model of step-type landslide displacement, we propose a decomposition method incorporating sliding Rnl step-point detection and improved weighted moving average method to modify step-term displacement. Both the Nishihara creep constitutive model and a self-adaptive improved genetic algorithm model were utilized. The proposed method was applied to decompose the displacement time series of Baishuihe landslide. The results of the proposed method were compared with those of the MK Test, sliding t test, and the Bayes test, demonstrating that the sliding Rnl step-point detection yields more accurate and applicable results. Furthermore, the displacement time series decomposition results were also compared with those obtained from quadratic moving average time series decomposition, cubic exponential smoothing time series decomposition, and VMD time series decomposition. The findings reveal that our proposed decomposition method effectively addresses irregular displacement and enhances the mechanical interpretation of the landslide trend term. Additionally, the introduction of the most critical step-term displacement in landslide displacement prediction enhances the specificity of analysis and prediction. In conclusion, our decomposition model holds significant engineering value and serves as a valuable reference for time series prediction.