新滩滑坡非线性动力学模型方法研究

长江科学院院报 ›› 2002, Vol. 19 ›› Issue (4): 33-35.

新滩滑坡非线性动力学模型方法研究

张英, 齐欢, 王小平

出版日期:2002-08-01 发布日期:2012-03-05

Study on nonlinear dynamics model methodfor landslide forecasting in Xintan

ZHANG Ying, QI Huan, WANG Xiao-Ping

Online:2002-08-01 Published:2012-03-05

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 利用非线性动力学模型方法的动态特性，结合实测资料和数值计算，构建了滑坡时间预测问题的滑坡非线性灰色预测模型和非线性混沌预测模型，通过反演和优化而得出滑坡预测问题的计算的结果。经实例验证，效果较好。

关键词: 滑坡时间预测, 非线性灰色预测模型, 非线性混沌预测模型

Abstract: Based on the dynamic characteristics of nonlinear modeling method, combined with the observed data and numerical calculation, the model of nonlinear gray forecasting and the model of nonlinear chaotic forecasting are established. Through inversion and optimization, an inverse calculation result can be found. It is verified from an illustration that the computed resultsare in good agreement with the observed data

张英, 齐欢, 王小平. 新滩滑坡非线性动力学模型方法研究[J]. 长江科学院院报, 2002, 19(4): 33-35.

ZHANG Ying, QI Huan, WANG Xiao-Ping. Study on nonlinear dynamics model methodfor landslide forecasting in Xintan[J]. JOURNAL OF YANGTZE RIVER SCIENTIFIC RESEARCH INSTI, 2002, 19(4): 33-35.