Flood Forecasting Model for Three Gorges Reservoir Intervening Basin by Considering Precipitation Prediction

ZHANG Hong-Gang, GUO Sheng-Lian, ZHOU Fen, LIU Pan, CHENG Hai-Yun, CHEN Gui-Ya, MIN Yao-Wu, YANG Wen-Fa

Journal of Changjiang River Scientific Research Institute ›› 2005, Vol. 22 ›› Issue (1) : 9-12.

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PDF(204 KB)
Journal of Changjiang River Scientific Research Institute ›› 2005, Vol. 22 ›› Issue (1) : 9-12.
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Flood Forecasting Model for Three Gorges Reservoir Intervening Basin by Considering Precipitation Prediction

  •  ZHANG  Hong-Gang, GUO  Sheng-Lian, ZHOU  Fen, LIU  Pan, CHENG  Hai-Yun, CHEN  Gui-Ya, MIN  Yao-Wu, YANG  Wen-Fa
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Abstract

By using the historical data of the Three Gorges Reservoir (TGR), a flood forecasting model for TGR intervening basin was proposed and established, with which the quantitative precipitation predicted data was coupled to study the influence of flood forecasting accuracy. A stochastic precipitation generator was developed to generate 500 precipitation series as the inputsof proposed flood forecasting model. The mean values of the forecasted discharges were used as the final forecasted results. It showed that the proposed flood forecasting model coupled with the stochastic precipitation generator could increase the TGR flood forecasting precision.

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ZHANG Hong-Gang, GUO Sheng-Lian, ZHOU Fen, LIU Pan, CHENG Hai-Yun, CHEN Gui-Ya, MIN Yao-Wu, YANG Wen-Fa. Flood Forecasting Model for Three Gorges Reservoir Intervening Basin by Considering Precipitation Prediction[J]. Journal of Changjiang River Scientific Research Institute. 2005, 22(1): 9-12
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