Chaos analysis on precipitation time serialin Sichuan middle region of Yangtze River upstream reaches

MEN Bao-Hui, ZHAO Xie-Jing, LIANG Chuan-

Journal of Changjiang River Scientific Research Institute ›› 2004, Vol. 21 ›› Issue (1) : 43-46.

PDF(159 KB)
PDF(159 KB)
Journal of Changjiang River Scientific Research Institute ›› 2004, Vol. 21 ›› Issue (1) : 43-46.
.

Chaos analysis on precipitation time serialin Sichuan middle region of Yangtze River upstream reaches

  •  MEN  Bao-Hui, ZHAO  Xie-Jing, LIANG  Chuan-
Author information +
History +

Abstract

Based on introducing the main quantitative indexes ofcorrelation dimension D2 and Kolmogorov entropy in rebuilding time series imbedding space, the relationship between built-in dimension m and correlation dimension D2 is discussed with the precipitation time serial in Sichuan middle region of Yangtze River upstream. The saturation correlation dimension, minimum built-in dimension and Kolmogorov entropy are calculated and given, that is D2=5.11,m=10 and k=0.338. Primary component analysis method is applied to validate its chaotic character, and obtained that the forecasting length for this precipitation time serial would not exceed 2.96 year. This time serial chaotic analysis will provide a scientific gist for precipitation forecasting.

Cite this article

Download Citations
MEN Bao-Hui, ZHAO Xie-Jing, LIANG Chuan-. Chaos analysis on precipitation time serialin Sichuan middle region of Yangtze River upstream reaches[J]. Journal of Changjiang River Scientific Research Institute. 2004, 21(1): 43-46
PDF(159 KB)

Accesses

Citation

Detail

Sections
Recommended

/