PDF(1350 KB)
Influence of Cascaded Reservoir Impoundment on Downstream Flood Characteristics and Flood Propagation
SHI Yu-long, YANG Cheng-gang, DONG Bing-jiang
Journal of Changjiang River Scientific Research Institute ›› 2026, Vol. 43 ›› Issue (5) : 42-48.
PDF(1350 KB)
PDF(1350 KB)
Influence of Cascaded Reservoir Impoundment on Downstream Flood Characteristics and Flood Propagation
[Objective] The operation of cascade reservoirs in the lower reaches of Jinsha River has significantly altered the inflow flood characteristics of the Three Gorges Reservoir (TGR), posing new requirements for the adaptability of existing flood control scheduling. This study aims to reveal changes in inflow flood processes and flood propagation characteristics within the TGR after the impoundment of cascade reservoirs in the lower reaches of Jinsha River, providing a theoretical basis and data support for scientific flood control scheduling of the reservoir. [Methods] Based on the measured hydrological and topographic data of the TGR from 2003 to 2020, mathematical statistical methods were employed to analyze changes in inflow flood characteristics before and after the impoundment of cascade reservoirs. A one-dimensional hydrodynamic model was adopted. After calibration and validation, multiple comparative scenarios were designed to conduct simulation and analysis of flood peak propagation processes in the TGR area. [Results] Statistical analysis of the measured data showed that around 2013, the average inflow flood volume of the TGR decreased by approximately 9.9%, while the rising and falling durations decreased by 4.9% and 9.9%, respectively, and the average rising and falling rates increased by 10.3% and 9.8%, respectively. These results indicated that the flood recession became faster, the flood peaks occurred earlier, the average peak discharge decreased, and the risk of extreme floods increased. The mathematical model results showed that, in terms of discharge characteristics, the flood peak propagation time was positively correlated with the flood peak discharge, while the influence of changes in baseflow was not significant. In terms of hydrograph shape, the flood peak propagation time was negatively correlated with the rising duration and positively correlated with the falling duration. In terms of boundary conditions, the flood peak propagation time was negatively correlated with the water level upstream of the dam. [Conclusion] The operation of cascade reservoirs significantly reduces inflow flood peak, and the attenuation effect on the flood hydrograph also leads to a significant increase in flood duration. The flood peak propagation is faster under conditions of lower peak discharge, longer rising duration, shorter falling duration, and higher water level upstream of the dam.
cascade reservoirs / one-dimensional hydrodynamic model / inflow flood characteristics / flood peak propagation / flood control scheduling
| [1] |
陈进. 长江梯级水库群联合调度成效、挑战及对策[J]. 长江科学院院报, 2024, 41(5):1-7.
经过70 a的建设,长江流域控制性水库群基本建成。以三峡水库为核心的梯级水库群联合调度已经开展10 a。在总结控制性水库群在防洪、供水、生态和应急联合调度取得成绩的基础上,分析控制性水库群及与水网工程联合调度面临的问题和挑战,提出了相应的对策建议。研究表明:水库群联合调度因流域防洪调度而启,目前在防洪、抗旱供水、生态环境和应急等公益调度中发挥了重要作用。气候变化及水文中长期预报不确定性是联合调度面临的主要挑战,其次是水库群联合调度与单个水库多目标调度利益协调、定量评价调度效果及合理的补偿等管理问题。加强“四预”是解决气候变化和人类活动不确定性的主要对策。水库群与水网工程联合调度可以更广泛地发挥水利工程水安全保障作用。建立科学合理的水工程群联合调度体制和机制是解决联合调度管理问题的有效措施。
(
|
| [2] |
高宇, 任实, 王海, 等. 金沙江下游梯级水库运行后三峡水库高洪水期入库水沙特性[J]. 湖泊科学, 2023, 35(2): 662-672.
(
|
| [3] |
张为, 李昕, 任金秋, 等. 梯级水库蓄水对三峡水库洪峰沙峰异步特性的影响[J]. 水科学进展, 2020, 31(4): 481-490.
(
|
| [4] |
何彦锋, 贾子航, 黄康康, 等. 雅砻江梯级水库汛控水位多目标优化调度[J]. 长江科学院院报, 2025, 42(9):212-222.
气候变化和强人类活动使得水旱灾害频发,优化水库汛控水位调度是应对极端水旱灾害的重要技术手段。以雅砻江梯级水库为研究对象,基于流域洪水特性及3座控制性水库的设计洪水,构建梯级水库汛控水位多目标优化调度模型,采用非支配排序遗传算法求解模型得到Pareto解集,并运用基于熵权法的多准则妥协解排序法推求最佳汛控水位方案。结果表明:通过优化调度,在不增加防洪风险的前提下,雅砻江流域两河口、锦屏一级和二滩水库的汛控水位可分别抬升2.54~4.98、0.7~1.77、2.13~2.96 m。20240429场次洪水的实例分析表明,相较于实际调度结果,最佳汛控水位方案可使雅砻江梯级水库总发电量增加2.55亿kW·h(改善率为9.7%),且调洪高水位更低,充分发挥了水库洪水资源调控能力,显著提升了梯级水库综合效益。
(
|
| [5] |
胡兴娥, 曹瑞. 三峡工程蓄水运用20年综合效益发挥与展望[J]. 长江科学院院报, 2024, 41(6): 1-9.
三峡工程自2003年蓄水发电至今已运行20 a,初步设计主要功能全部实现,并适应运行条件变化和发展需求持续优化运行方式,防洪、发电、航运、水资源利用等综合效益全面发挥。截至2023年底,三峡工程累计拦洪运用66次,拦蓄洪水超2 088亿m<sup>3</sup>,确保了荆江河段防洪安全,极大减轻了长江中下游防洪压力;累计发出清洁电能超16 600亿kW·h,相当于节约标准煤5.1亿t,减少二氧化碳排放13.3亿t;极大改善了库区与长江中游航道条件,累计通过货运量超20亿t,有力促进了长江航运快速发展;枯水期累计向下游补水约3 400亿m<sup>3</sup>,有效保障了长江中下游供水安全;生态调度成效显著,四大家鱼资源量明显恢复。为了应对频发的极端水文事件带来的风险和挑战,确保三峡工程长期安全运行和持续发挥巨大综合效益,从推进气象水文预报技术研究与应用、三峡水库调度运行方案优化、创新成果转化运用、智慧化管理等方面提出了下一步工作展望。
(
|
| [6] |
黄艳. 数字孪生三峡“智慧”防御洪水[N]. 中国水利报, 2024-07-24( 1).
|
| [7] |
马峰, 牛小静, 张成, 等. 集合参数率定功能的一维水动力模型研究[J]. 水动力学研究与进展A辑, 2024, 39(2): 227-233.
(
|
| [8] |
邓金运. 一维河网非恒定水沙数学模型研究[J]. 水科学与工程技术, 2006(6): 1-4.
(
|
| [9] |
陈立, 徐莎莎, 张为, 等. 三峡入库洪峰组成变化及原因分析[J]. 水科学进展, 2025, 36(1): 39-49.
(
|
| [10] |
段唯鑫, 郭生练, 王俊. 长江上游大型水库群对宜昌站水文情势影响分析[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2016, 25(1): 120-130.
(
|
| [11] |
翟媛. 河道洪水传播时间影响因素分析[J]. 人民黄河, 2007, 29(8): 27-28.
(
|
| [12] |
|
| [13] |
Hydrological extremes can be particularly impactful in catchments with high human presence where they are modulated by human intervention such as reservoir regulation. Still, we know little about how reservoir operation affects droughts and floods, particularly at a regional scale. Here, I present a large data set of natural and regulated catchment pairs in the United States and assess how reservoir regulation affects local and regional drought and flood characteristics. My results show that (1) reservoir regulation affects drought and flood hazard at a local scale by reducing severity (i.e. intensity/magnitude and deficit/volume) but increasing duration; (2) regulation affects regional hazard by reducing spatial flood connectedness (i.e. number of catchments a catchment co-experiences flood events with) in winter and by increasing spatial drought connectedness in summer; (3) the local alleviation effect is only weakly affected by reservoir purpose for both droughts and floods. I conclude that both local and regional flood and drought characteristics are substantially modulated by reservoir regulation, an aspect that should neither be neglected in hazard nor climate impact assessments.
|
| [14] |
|
| [15] |
任小虎, 朱咏, 郑洋, 等. 梯级水电站对黑河出山口径流及洪水过程的影响[J]. 长江科学院院报, 2022, 39(10):31-37.
基于莺落峡水文站的月年径流量、年最大洪峰流量、洪水过程及黑河上游流域降水等资料,运用双累积曲线法、Mann-Kendall趋势检验法(简称MK检验法)、基尼系数法等方法,分析梯级水电站对黑河出山口莺落峡水文站径流及洪水过程的影响。结果表明:黑河上游梯级水电站的建设运行对年径流量变化影响不大,对径流年内分配及洪水过程有一定影响;电站联合调度运行后,坝前库区蓄放水改变了天然径流过程,对径流年内分配产生显著影响,年内分配均匀度在2001年发生转折,2017—2020年呈显著增加趋势;人为升降闸门高度,致使水位直上、直下,洪水过程拉长,峰值变大,呈陡涨直落形态,涨落率和变化频次增加。研究成果可为加强流域水电站科学调度、水生态文明建设及水能水资源可持续开发利用提供理论依据。
(
The influence of cascade hydropower stations on the runoff and flood process of Yingluoxia hydrological station at the outlet of Heihe River is analyzed by using the double cumulative curve method, MK test method and Gini coefficient method based on the monthly annual runoff, annual maximum peak discharge, flood process of Yingluoxia hydrological station and precipitation in the upper reaches of the Heihe River.Results demonstrate that the construction and operation of cascade hydropower stations in the upper reaches of Heihe River has no large impact on the change of annual runoff, but has a certain impact on the annual distribution of runoff and flood process.After the joint dispatching and operation of the power stations, the regulation and storage of the reservoir in front of the dam has changed the natural runoff process and has a significant impact on the annual distribution of runoff.The annual distribution uniformity showed a transition in 2001 and a significant increasing trend from 2017 to 2020.The artificial rising and lowering of the gate resulted in the straight rising and falling of water level, the elongation of flood process, the expansion of peak flood in the form of steep rise and fall, and the increment of the rise and fall rate and change frequency.The research findings offer theoretical basis for strengthening the scientific operation of hydropower stations, the construction of water ecological civilization and the sustainable development and utilization of hydropower and water resources.
|
| [16] |
任金秋. 三峡水库洪峰沙峰异步运动机理及减淤调度研究[D]. 武汉: 武汉大学, 2021.
(
|
| [17] |
张华, 刘铁林, 黄敏, 等. 校正因数法及其在水位流量关系定线中的应用[J]. 水资源研究, 2022, 11(2):194-199.
(
|
| [18] |
江恩惠, 万强, 曹永涛. 小浪底水库拦沙运用九年后黄河下游防洪形势预测[J]. 泥沙研究, 2010, 35(1):1-4.
(
|
| [19] |
周钰涵, 王海军, 陈智洋, 等. 水库防洪调度模型研究与应用: 以浙江省珊溪水库为例[J]. 中国防汛抗旱, 2025, 35(1): 13-18, 93.
(
|
/
| 〈 |
|
〉 |