PDF(3986 KB)
Prediction of Erosion-Deposition Evolution in Lower Jingjiang River and Dongting Lake System Based on Morphological Acceleration Factor Method
LÜ Bing-han, YAO Shi-ming, WANG Min, YUAN Yuan, DENG Chun-yan
Journal of Changjiang River Scientific Research Institute ›› 2025, Vol. 42 ›› Issue (12) : 8-16.
PDF(3986 KB)
PDF(3986 KB)
Prediction of Erosion-Deposition Evolution in Lower Jingjiang River and Dongting Lake System Based on Morphological Acceleration Factor Method
[Objective] The Jingjiang-Dongting Lake region, a critical river-lake system in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River, is crucial for flood mitigation, sediment regulation, and ecological conservation. This study aims to develop and apply an enhanced 2D water-sediment model incorporating a morphological acceleration factor (MF) to efficiently predict the bed deformation and sediment redistribution over a 30-year period, thereby providing a scientifically sound and computationally feasible tool for long-term morphodynamic prediction and sustainable management of large river-lake systems. [Methods] A 2D depth-averaged water-sediment model was established to solve shallow water equations and multi-fraction suspended sediment transport equations coupled with a bed deformation module. The governing equations were discretized using an unstructured finite volume method, with advection terms solved by the Euler-Lagrange method (ELM) to enhance numerical stability. To overcome the computational bottleneck of long-term simulations, the MF was introduced, linearly scaling the bed evolution per hydrodynamic time step to accelerate morphodynamic simulations while maintaining physical realism. The model domain covered the lower Jingjiang reach and the Dongting Lake and was discretized into unstructured cells with refined resolution along the main channel. Sediment was grouped into three size classes for suspended load and four for bed material, with gradation initialized from field surveys from 2003 to 2012. MF was determined at 7, 15, and 24 for sensitivity analysis. [Results] (1) The MF markedly improved computational performance. With MF values of 15 and 24, simulation time decreased to 42% and 30% of that for MF=7, corresponding to speed-up factors of 2.38 and 3.33, respectively. The spatially distributed erosion-deposition patterns remained consistent across different MF values, confirming the robustness of the approach. The total sediment deposition in Dongting Lake varied by less than 5% across scenarios, while the total erosion volume along the main stem exhibited higher sensitivity, with a maximum deviation of 9.1% between MF=24 and MF=7. These deviations were primarily localized and did not alter the long-term trends or magnitudes. (2) The mainstream of the Jingjiang River experienced sustained incision, with a total scour volume of 462 million m3 and an average bed incision of 1.86 m over 30 years. Local deposition occurred along convex banks due to curvature-induced secondary flows. Dongting Lake exhibited net deposition of 276 million m3, with an average siltation thickness of 0.09 m. Notably, the annual deposition rate in the lake decreased significantly over time—from 20 million m3 to about 6 million m3—representing an approximate 70% reduction and indicating a gradual approach toward a new morphodynamic equilibrium. Significant spatial variability in sediment redistribution was observed. The Jingjiang mainstream was dominated by scour, particularly in the deep channel, while point bars developed in its meandering segments. Within Dongting Lake, distinct patterns emerged. The western Dongting area was near equilibrium with no clear trend, the southern Dongting experienced significant deposition along floodways from the Three Outlets with thicknesses up to 4 meters, and the eastern Dongting exhibited complex patterns with both deep scour pits infilled by sediment and a depositional bar at the Zhuzikou inlet. Furthermore, the outlet channel in the lake-river confluence zone experienced upstream erosion and downstream deposition, gradually flattening the longitudinal slope. Regarding model validation, the simulated results closely aligned with previous studies and field observations. The deviation in total deposition was 17.0% compared to a 1D model over 30 years, and the deviation was approximately 14.2% at 10 and 20 years compared to an earlier 2D lake model. Notably, the predicted average annual deposition of 89.3 million m3 from 2011 to 2020 closely matched the measured data, further supporting the model’s reliability. [Conclusion] This study demonstrates that integrating a morphological acceleration factor into a 2D water-sediment model enables efficient and accurate simulation of decadal-scale morphodynamics in large river-lake systems. The MF method decreases computational time for a 30-year simulation by about 60%-70% while maintaining prediction errors within 5% for total lake deposition. The Jingjiang reach is projected to undergo continued incision, while Dongting Lake will experience slight net deposition at a strongly declining rate, indicating adjustment toward a new dynamic equilibrium. Spatially heterogeneous erosion-deposition patterns highlight the need for targeted management strategies.
prediction of erosion and deposition evolution / morphological acceleration factor / Jingjiang-Dongting Lake / river-lake relationship / water-sediment simulation
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The characteristics of runoff-sediment variation of Dongting Lake in recent six decades and its relationship with human activities were analyzed using Mann-Kendall trend test and double cumulative curve method based on the runoff-sediment data of Dongting Lake from 1955 to 2018. Under the influence of the waterway changes in Jingjiang reach of Yangtze River and the construction of water conservancy projects (WCP), declining trends were observed for the time series of runoff and sediment discharge at the three outlets of Yangtze River into Dongting Lake and the four rivers into Dongting Lake, of which the former was most significant. Affected by the water-sediment change at the three outlets, both the annual runoff and sediment discharge at Chenglingji presented dropping trends. An obvious downward trend was also discovered for the sediment deposition inside the Dongting Lake from 1955 to 2018. Such downward trend can be mainly attributed to the decrease of three outlets' sediment discharge caused by human activities such as the construction of WCP, which reduced the sediment concentration and deflected the dual cumulative runoff-sediment curves. The impact of human activities on runoff-sediment variation of Dongting Lake can be quantified by building the relations between cumulative runoff and sediment discharge before and after the deflection point. Calculations in this paper showed that human activities cut the annual sediment discharge at the three outlets, four rivers, and Chenglingji by 0.69×10<sup>8</sup> t/a (2003-2018), 0.22×10<sup>8</sup> t/a (1986-2018), and 0.21× 10<sup>8</sup> t/a (1981-2018).
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The sedimentation of Dongting Lake affects the flood control, water resource and water eco-environment of the Yangtze River and the Dongting Lake. On the basis of previous researches on general sedimentation of Dongting Lake, we analyzed the sediment transport and deposition distribution in each region of the Lake. It has practical significance for the comprehensive regional management of Dongting Lake. By analyzing the measured hydrology, sediment and terrain data in different regions of the Lake, we found that sediment deposition of Dongting Lake has been decreasing since 1950s. Annual sedimentation of Dongting Lake is less than 10% of that before the impounding of Three Gorges Reservoir. Regional deposition was not in lakes, but mainly in flood courses. The shrinkage of west Dongting Lake has been in its later stage, of which sediment deposition has greatly reduced. The east and south Dongting Lake were silted during flood season, and scoured in non-flood season without considering the interval sediment conditions. |
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To deeply understand the hydrodynamic characteristics of large-scale river-lake system, two-dimensional(2D) mathematical model instead of traditional one-dimensional(1D) model is required for simulation and research when calculation accuracy is given higher priority than calculation efficiency. With high-resolution grid as the premise, the contradiction between accuracy and efficiency of 2D hydrodynamic model turns into a bottleneck of calculation efficiency. With the Jingjiang-Dongting (JDT) system (divided into 328 000 quadrilateral cells with the minimum grid scale about 50 m) as research background, the performances of both explicit and implicit hydrodynamic models for large-scale river-lake system were compared using MIKE21 model and a semi-implicit Eulerian-Lagrangian model. The practicability of high-resolution 2D models of large-scale river-lake systems was also discussed. Results illustrated that explicit model is less stable (maximum allowable time step 0.8 s) than implicit model (time step reaching over 60 s). The efficiency test results on a conventional 16-core workstation revealed sound parallelism of explicit model, with the speedup ratio varying linearly with the number of cores. Implicit model (using the prediction-correction block parallel computing method) can also achieve a very large speedup ratio, amounting to 11.1 under 16-core parallel conditions. The explicit and implicit models took 411 and 10.76 hours (16 cores), respectively, to simulate the one-year unsteady flow in JDT system. The calculation efficiency of the latter is 38.2 times higher than that of the former. In conclusion, implicit model meets the practical requirements of high-resolution 2D hydrodynamic simulation for large-scale river-lake system.
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