PDF(1188 KB)
Online Flow Calculation at Hydrological Stations Based on One-dimensional Hydrodynamic Model
NIU Shuai, LIU Jiu-fu, LI San-ping, WANG Wen-zhong, LONG Wei
Journal of Changjiang River Scientific Research Institute ›› 2025, Vol. 42 ›› Issue (12) : 95-100.
PDF(1188 KB)
PDF(1188 KB)
Online Flow Calculation at Hydrological Stations Based on One-dimensional Hydrodynamic Model
[Objective] Hydrological stations play a crucial role in monitoring hydrological regime changes. Achieving online flow calculation at hydrological stations and improving flow calculation accuracy are of great research significance for hydrological monitoring, flood and drought disaster prevention, and water resource management. [Methods] By monitoring the upstream and downstream water levels of hydrological stations as boundary conditions, a one-dimensional hydrodynamic model of the river reach near the hydrological station was constructed. The Kalman filter technique was employed to automatically calibrate the model’s roughness parameters based on measured flow data from the station. Using the upstream and downstream water levels as inputs and the automatically calibrated roughness data as outputs, a BP neural network was constructed to fit the complex relationship between water levels and model roughness. During online flow calculation, the roughness values were corrected using the real-time upstream and downstream water levels and the water level-roughness neural network relationship to improve flow calculation accuracy. By correcting the roughness based on real-time upstream and downstream water levels and using the constructed one-dimensional hydrodynamic model for simulation calculation, online flow calculation at hydrological stations was achieved. [Results] Taking Lanxi Hydrological Station as an example, the accuracy of online peak flow calculation at Lanxi Station using the proposed method was higher than that of the currently used index velocity method. For three major flood events selected, the flood flow calculation accuracy at Lanxi Station using the proposed method was higher than that of the index velocity method currently used at Lanxi Station. The reason was that the index velocity method, when establishing the relationship between index velocity and cross-sectional average velocity, used only boat-measured flow data to calibrate the relationship, which could lead to significant errors and consequently larger errors in peak flow simulation. In contrast, this study constructed a one-dimensional hydrodynamic model, used measured flow data to automatically calibrate the model roughness parameters, corrected roughness based on real-time upstream and downstream water levels to perform online flow calculation with the model, and utilized more real-time water level information than the index velocity method for model calibration and assimilation, thus achieving higher peak flow calculation accuracy. [Conclusion] This study achieves online flow calculation at hydrological stations and improves flow calculation accuracy by utilizing upstream and downstream water levels. The applicability of the method is verified using Lanxi Hydrological Station as an example, demonstrating significantly improved flow calculation accuracy compared to the index velocity method, particularly during major floods with high water levels. The method proposed in this paper is suitable for online flow calculation at hydrological stations located in upstream or midstream river reaches with relatively stable riverbed cross-sections where sediment erosion and deposition effects can be neglected. Considering the relatively low cost of water level gauges, the method demonstrates good application prospects and promotion value.
online flow calculation / one-dimensional hydrodynamic model / Kalman filter / automatic calibration / BP neural network / roughness
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In order to explore the forecasting method which is more in line with the flood control requirements of the middle and small river basin and improve the accuracy of flood forecasting, taking Tunxi Basin as an example, combined with the actual flood forecasting requirements of the middle and small rivers, a non-equal-weight parameter calibration method with the qualified rate of flood peak and the qualified rate of flood peak onset time as the main constraints is adopted (i.e., the weights of runoff depth, flood peak discharge, qualified rate of peak onset time and deterministic coefficient in the objective function are respectively (1∶2∶2∶1) to calibrate the parameters of the Xin'anjiang River model, and use the arithmetic mean method to couple the calculation results of the Xin 'anjiang River model and BP neural network model so as to improve the accuracy of flood prediction. The results show that the method based on the main constraints of flood peak discharge and peak occurrence time is feasible in the flood prediction of Tunxi Basin. Compared with the traditional equal-weight method, the method has more advantages in the flood peak and peak occurrence time prediction, and meets the flood control requirements of small and medium-sized rivers. The Xin 'anjiang River model can simulate the flood peak and peak time well, and the BP neural network model can simulate the flood peak and runoff depth well. The arithmetic mean method is used to couple the simulation results of the two models can improve the accuracy of flood prediction. |
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