Regional Characteristics and Evolution of Meteorological Droughts in Poyang Lake Basin

YE Xu-chun, YUAN Yan-ping, LIU Ting-ting, DUAN Hong-xin, LI Xiang-hu

Journal of Changjiang River Scientific Research Institute ›› 2024, Vol. 41 ›› Issue (9) : 19-26.

PDF(5342 KB)
Medical Journal of the Chinese People's Armed Police Forces
PDF(5342 KB)
Journal of Changjiang River Scientific Research Institute ›› 2024, Vol. 41 ›› Issue (9) : 19-26. DOI: 10.11988/ckyyb.20230539
Water Resources

Regional Characteristics and Evolution of Meteorological Droughts in Poyang Lake Basin

Author information +
History +

Abstract

Based on observation data from 29 national meteorological stations within and surrounding Poyang Lake basin from 1960 to 2020, we investigated the regional characteristics and evolution of meteorological droughts in the basin by calculating the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) in association with the run theory.The findings indicate that the frequency of monthly meteorological droughts in the Poyang Lake basin ranged from 31.7% to 34.8%. Moreover, the spatial patterns of drought frequency varied significantly across different drought levels.SPEI of the Poyang Lake basin exhibited a slight downward trend in spring and autumn, with the affected area showing a marginal increase. Conversely, opposite trend was observed in summer and winter. Regarding regional characteristics, basin-wide (29.5% occurrence) and local droughts (23.4% occurrence) were predominant seasonal droughts in the Poyang Lake basin, whereas regional (10.7% occurrence) and partial regional droughts (5.7% occurrence) occured less frequently. The run theory revealed that 50 meteorological drought events have occurred in the past 61 years. The frequency of these events decreased notably with increasing drought duration, with the longest drought lasting up to 49 months. The duration, peak intensity, and total intensity of drought events exhibited pronounced inter-decadal fluctuations. A significant linear correlation existed between drought duration and total intensity, while a notable power function relationship was observed between drought duration and peak intensity. However, no significant correlation was found between drought duration and average intensity. These findings have clarified the regional characteristics and evolutionary processes of meteorological droughts in the Poyang Lake basin, thereby providing a scientific basis for assessing drought impacts and formulating effective prevention strategies.

Key words

meteorological drought / Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index / run theory / drought process / Poyang Lake basin

Cite this article

EndNote

Ris (Procite)

Bibtex

Download Citations
YE Xu-chun , YUAN Yan-ping , LIU Ting-ting , et al . Regional Characteristics and Evolution of Meteorological Droughts in Poyang Lake Basin[J]. Journal of Yangtze River Scientific Research Institute. 2024, 41(9): 19-26 https://doi.org/10.11988/ckyyb.20230539

References

List( Publishing order | Descend order by publishing year | Descend order by cited within ) Chart analysis
[1]
DAI A, TRENBERTH K E, QIAN T. A Global Dataset of Palmer Drought Severity Index for 1870—2002: Relationship with Soil Moisture and Effects of Surface Warming[J]. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 2004, 5(6): 1117-1130.
Cited in this article [1]
[2]
HARI V, RAKOVEC O, MARKONIS Y, et al. Increased Future Occurrences of the Exceptional 2018-2019 Central European Drought under Global Warming[J]. Scientific Reports, 2020, 10: 12207.
Cited in this article [1]
[3]
王文, 许志丽, 蔡晓军, 等. 基于PDSI的长江中下游地区干旱分布特征[J]. 高原气象, 2016, 35(3): 693-707.
(WANG Wen, XU Zhi-li, CAI Xiao-jun, et al. Aridity Characteristic in Middle and Lower Reaches of Yangtze River Area Based on Palmer Drought Severity Index Analysis[J]. Plateau Meteorology, 2016, 35(3): 693-707. (in Chinese))
Cited in this article [2]
[4]
曹博, 张勃, 马彬, 等. 基于SPEI指数的长江中下游流域干旱时空特征分析[J]. 生态学报, 2018, 38(17): 6258-6267.
(CAO Bo, ZHANG Bo, MA Bin, et al. Spatial and Temporal Characteristics Analysis of Drought Based on SPEI in the Middle and Lower Yangtze Basin[J]. Acta Ecologica Sinica, 2018, 38(17): 6258-6267. (in Chinese))
Cited in this article [2]
[5]
李明, 柴旭荣, 王贵文, 等. 长江中下游地区气象干旱特征[J]. 自然资源学报, 2019, 34(2): 374-384.
(LI Ming, CHAI Xu-rong, WANG Gui-wen, et al. Research on Meteorological Drought in the Middle and Lower Reaches of the Yangtze River[J]. Journal of Natural Resources, 2019, 34(2): 374-384. (in Chinese))
Cited in this article [1]
[6]
孙鹏, 张强, 涂新军, 等. 基于马尔科夫链模型的鄱阳湖流域水文气象干旱研究[J]. 湖泊科学, 2015, 27(6): 1177-1186.
(SUN Peng, ZHANG Qiang, TU Xin-jun, et al. Changing Properties of Meteor-hydrological Droughts of the Lake Poyang Basin Using the Markov Model[J]. Journal of Lake Sciences, 2015, 27(6): 1177-1186. (in Chinese))
Cited in this article [2]
[7]
韩会明, 刘喆玥, 刘成林, 等. 基于Copula函数的赣江流域气象干旱特征分析[J]. 水电能源科学, 2020, 38(8): 9-13.
(HAN Hui-ming, LIU Zhe-yue, LIU Cheng-lin, et al. Analysis of Meteorological Drought Characteristics in Ganjiang River Basin Based on Copula Function[J]. Water Resources and Power, 2020, 38(8): 9-13. (in Chinese))
Cited in this article [1]
[8]
洪兴骏, 郭生练, 马鸿旭, 等. 基于SPI的鄱阳湖流域干旱时空演变特征及其与湖水位相关分析[J]. 水文, 2014, 34(2): 25-31.
(HONG Xing-jun, GUO Sheng-lian, MA Hong-xu, et al. Spatial and Temporal Analysis of Drought and Its Relationship with Water Level of Poyang Lake[J]. Journal of China Hydrology, 2014, 34(2): 25-31. (in Chinese))
Cited in this article [2]
[9]
刘元波, 赵晓松, 吴桂平. 近十年鄱阳湖区极端干旱事件频发现象成因初析[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2014, 23(1): 131-138.
(LIU Yuan-bo, ZHAO Xiao-song, WU Gui-ping. A Primary Investigation on the Formation of Frequent Droughts in the Poyang Lake Basin in Recent Decade[J]. Resources and Environment in the Yangtze Basin, 2014, 23(1): 131-138. (in Chinese))
Cited in this article [2]
[10]
LI X, YE X. Spatiotemporal Characteristics of Dry-wet Abrupt Transition Based on Precipitation in Poyang Lake Basin, China[J]. Water, 2015, 7(5): 1943-1958.
Cited in this article [2]
[11]
刘卫林, 朱圣男, 刘丽娜, 等. 基于SPEI的1958—2018年鄱阳湖流域干旱时空特征及其与ENSO的关系[J]. 中国农村水利水电, 2020(4): 116-123, 128.
(LIU Wei-lin, ZHU Sheng-nan, LIU Li-na, et al. Temporal and Spatial Characteristics of Drought and Its Relationship with ENSO in Poyang Lake Basin Based on SPEI from 1958 to 2018[J]. China Rural Water and Hydropower, 2020(4): 116-123, 128. (in Chinese))
Cited in this article [3]
[12]
谢坤, 丁明军, 张华敏, 等. 基于SPEI指数的鄱阳湖流域近60 a干旱时空变化特征[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2021, 30(8): 2015-2027.
(XIE Kun, DING Ming-jun, ZHANG Hua-min, et al. Spatiotemporal Variation of Drought in Poyang Lake Basin in Recent Sixty Years Based on SPEI[J]. Resources and Environment in the Yangtze Basin, 2021, 30(8): 2015-2027. (in Chinese))
Cited in this article [2]
[13]
郑金丽, 严子奇, 周祖昊, 等. 基于综合干旱指数的鄱阳湖流域干旱时空分异特征研究[J]. 水利水电技术(中英文), 2021, 52(8): 91-100.
(ZHENG Jin-li, YAN Zi-qi, ZHOU Zu-hao, et al. Spatial and Temporal Differentiation of Drought in Poyang Lake Basin Based on Comprehensive Drought Index[J]. Water Resources and Hydropower Engineering, 2021, 52(8): 91-100. (in Chinese))
Cited in this article [1]
[14]
韩会明, 孙军红. 赣江流域气象水文干旱传播特征分析[J]. 中国农村水利水电, 2022(12): 101-106.
(HAN Hui-ming, SUN Jun-hong. An Analysis of the Meteorological and Hydrological Drought Propagation Characteristics in Ganjiang River Basin[J]. China Rural Water and Hydropower, 2022(12): 101-106. (in Chinese))
Cited in this article [1]
[15]
刘婷婷, 杨晓霞, 叶许春, 等. 人类活动对2000—2020年鄱阳湖流域陆地植被覆盖变化的影响[J]. 水土保持通报, 2022, 42(4): 320-329.
(LIU Ting-ting, YANG Xiao-xia, YE Xu-chun, et al. Effects of Human Activities on Terrestrial Vegetation Coverage Change of Poyang Lake Basin during 2000—2020[J]. Bulletin of Soil and Water Conservation, 2022, 42(4): 320-329. (in Chinese))
Cited in this article [1]
[16]
VICENTE-SERRANO S M, BEGUERÍA S, LÓPEZ-MORENO J I. A Multiscalar Drought Index Sensitive to Global Warming: The Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index[J]. Journal of Climate, 2010, 23(7): 1696-1718.
Cited in this article [1]
[17]
GB/T 20481—2006, 气象干旱等级[S]. 北京: 中国标准出版社, 2006.
(GB/T 20481—2006, Classification of meteorological drought category[S]. Beijing: Standards Press of China, 2006. (in Chinese))
Cited in this article [1]
[18]
黄晚华, 杨晓光, 李茂松, 等. 基于标准化降水指数的中国南方季节性干旱近58a演变特征[J]. 农业工程学报, 2010, 26(7): 50-59.
(HUANG Wan-hua, YANG Xiao-guang, LI Mao-song, et al. Evolution Characteristics of Seasonal Drought in the South of China during the Past 58 Years Based on Standardized Precipitation Index[J]. Transactions of the Chinese Society of Agricultural Engineering, 2010, 26(7): 50-59. (in Chinese))
Cited in this article [1]
[19]
隋月, 黄晚华, 杨晓光, 等. 气候变化背景下中国南方地区季节性干旱特征与适应 Ⅱ. 基于作物水分亏缺指数的越冬粮油作物干旱时空特征[J]. 应用生态学报, 2012, 23(9): 2467-2476.
(SUI Yue, HUANG Wan-hua, YANG Xiao-guang, et al. Characteristics and Adaption of Seasonal Drought in Southern China under the Background of Global Climate Change Ⅱ. Spatiotemporal Characteristics of Drought for Wintering Grain and Oil Crops Based on Crop Water Deficit Index[J]. Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology, 2012, 23(9): 2467-2476. (in Chinese))
Cited in this article [1]
[20]
YEVJEVICH V. An Objective Approach to Definitions and Investigations of Continental Hydrologic Droughts[D]. Fort Collins: Colorado State University, 1967.
Cited in this article [1]
[21]
CHANG J, LI Y, WANG Y, et al. Copula-based Drought Risk Assessment Combined with an Integrated Index in the Wei River Basin, China[J]. Journal of Hydrology, 2016, 540: 824-834.
Cited in this article [2]
[22]
WU J, CHEN X, YAO H, et al. Non-linear Relationship of Hydrological Drought Responding to Meteorological Drought and Impact of a Large Reservoir[J]. Journal of Hydrology, 2017, 551: 495-507.
Cited in this article [1]
[23]
占明锦, 殷剑敏, 孔萍. 鄱阳湖流域气候变化事实研究[J]. 气象与减灾研究, 2013, 36(3): 18-24.
(ZHAN Ming-jin, YIN Jian-min, KONG Ping. Facts of Climate Change in Poyang Lake Basin[J]. Meteorology and Disaster Reduction Research, 2013, 36(3): 18-24. (in Chinese))
Cited in this article [1]
[24]
YANG X, WU J, LIU J, et al. Changes of Extreme Precipitation and Possible Influence of ENSO Events in a Humid Basin in China[J]. Atmosphere, 2021, 12(11), 1522.
Cited in this article [2]
[25]
虞美秀, 董吴欣, 张建云, 等. 基于大范围地面墒情监测的鄱阳湖流域农业干旱[J]. 水科学进展, 2022, 33(2): 185-195.
(YU Mei-xiu, DONG Wu-xin, ZHANG Jian-yun, et al. Agricultural Drought of the Poyang Lake Basin Based on Large-scale Ground Monitoring of Soil Water Content[J]. Advances in Water Science, 2022, 33(2): 185-195. (in Chinese))
Cited in this article [1]
[26]
闵屾, 严蜜, 刘健. 鄱阳湖流域干旱气候特征研究[J]. 湖泊科学, 2013, 25(1): 65-72.
(MIN Shen, YAN Mi, LIU Jian. Climatic Characteristics of the Drought in Lake Poyang Catchment[J]. Journal of Lake Sciences, 2013, 25(1): 65-72. (in Chinese))
Cited in this article [2]
[27]
刘诗梦, 张杰, 于涵. 影响初夏江淮流域年代际极端干旱的欧洲关键区能量演变特征分析[J]. 高原气象, 2020, 39(1): 143-152.
(LIU Shi-meng, ZHANG Jie, YU Han. Analysis of Energy Evolution Characteristics of Key Areas in Europe Affecting Decadal Extreme Drought in Yangtze-Huaihe River Basin during the Pre-summer Period[J]. Plateau Meteorology, 2020, 39(1): 143-152. (in Chinese))
Cited in this article [1]
[28]
YE X, LI X, XU C Y, et al. Similarity, Difference and Correlation of Meteorological and Hydrological Drought Indices in a Humid Climate Region-the Poyang Lake Catchment in China[J]. Hydrology Research, 2016, 47(6): 1211-1223.
Cited in this article [1]
PDF(5342 KB)

Accesses

Citation

Detail
Sections
Recommended
Copyright © Journal of Changjiang River Scientific Research Institute, All Rights Reserved.
Powered by Beijing Magtech Co. Ltd.

/

〈 〉