Numerical Study on Possible Maximum Storm Surge over Hangzhou Bay and Zhoushan Archipelago

CHU Dong-dong; LI Meng-yu; CHE Zhu-mei; YUAN Yuan; LUAN Hua-long; ZHANG Ji-cai

doi:10.11988/ckyyb.20221606

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Journal of Changjiang River Scientific Research Institute ›› 2024, Vol. 41 ›› Issue (5) : 72-78. DOI: 10.11988/ckyyb.20221606

Water-Related Disasters

Numerical Study on Possible Maximum Storm Surge over Hangzhou Bay and Zhoushan Archipelago

CHU Dong-dong¹, LI Meng-yu¹, CHE Zhu-mei², YUAN Yuan¹, LUAN Hua-long¹, ZHANG Ji-cai³

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Abstract

A high-resolution storm surge model encompassing the Bohai Sea, Yellow Sea, and East China Sea is developed based on the Finite Volume Community Ocean Model (FVCOM) to simulate and hindcast the storm surges induced by Typhoon Chan-hom. The model’s surge predictions align closely with observed tidal gauge data. Based on the International Best Track Archive for Climate Stewardship (IBTrACS) datasets, a linear regression is established between typhoons’ maximum wind speeds and their minimum central pressures along China’s coast, achieving a correlation coefficient of 0.96. On this basis, a variety of hypothetical typhoon paths are constructed based on the maximum wind intensity model to calculate the possible maximum storm surges (PMSS) in the Hangzhou Bay and Zhoushan Archipelago. Our findings indicate that typhoons landing perpendicular to the coastline yield the highest surge elevations, peaking at 8.76 m in Hangzhou Bay and 2.62 m in the Zhoushan Archipelago. This research offers valuable insights for the risk assessment and disaster prevention and mitigation for marine engineering projects in the Hangzhou Bay and Zhoushan Archipelago areas.

Key words

storm surge / FVCOM / possible maximum storm surge / numerical model / Hangzhou Bay / Zhoushan Archipelago

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CHU Dong-dong, LI Meng-yu, CHE Zhu-mei, YUAN Yuan, LUAN Hua-long, ZHANG Ji-cai. Numerical Study on Possible Maximum Storm Surge over Hangzhou Bay and Zhoushan Archipelago[J]. Journal of Changjiang River Scientific Research Institute. 2024, 41(5): 72-78 https://doi.org/10.11988/ckyyb.20221606

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