Staged Control of Flood Limit Water Level Based on System Coordination Degree Model

FENG Jia-ning; LI Xiao-ying; ZHANG Yan; ZHANG Meng-xian

doi:10.11988/ckyyb.20221124

PDF(6918 KB)

Journal of Changjiang River Scientific Research Institute ›› 2024, Vol. 41 ›› Issue (1) : 9-17. DOI: 10.11988/ckyyb.20221124

Comprehensive Management of River Basin

Staged Control of Flood Limit Water Level Based on System Coordination Degree Model

FENG Jia-ning¹, LI Xiao-ying¹, ZHANG Yan², ZHANG Meng-xian¹

Author information +

History +

Abstract

To coordinate between flood control and profit promotion and enhance the efficient utilization of flood resources, we proposed a stage-based division of flood season using the improved fuzzy set method, and subsequently established a system coordination degree model to calculate the dynamic control domain of flood limit water level. The limit water levels in Silin Reservoir, as an example, in pre-flood season and post-flood season are directly proportional to the synergetic contribution degree of power generation benefit, but inversely proportional to the synergetic contribution degree of flood control risk. To achieve the maximum degree of system coordination, the dynamic control domain of flood limit water level is recommended to be [435, 437]m and [435, 438]m in pre-flood season and post-flood season, respectively. These recommendations would lead to additional electricity generation of 2 169.907×10⁴ kW·h and 6 509.722×10⁴ kW·h, and an increase in water resources utilization of 0.716×10⁸ m³ and 1.079×10⁸ m³, during the pre- and post-flood seasons, respectively. The findings of this study contribute to improved flood resource utilization and offer valuable insights for the safe and reasonable operation of reservoirs.

Key words

flood limited level / flood season staging / improved fuzzy set analysis method / dynamic control bound / system coordination degree

Cite this article

EndNote

Ris (Procite)

Bibtex

Download Citations

FENG Jia-ning, LI Xiao-ying, ZHANG Yan, ZHANG Meng-xian. Staged Control of Flood Limit Water Level Based on System Coordination Degree Model[J]. Journal of Changjiang River Scientific Research Institute. 2024, 41(1): 9-17 https://doi.org/10.11988/ckyyb.20221124

References

[1] 冯峰, 许士国, 刘建卫, 等. 区域洪水资源的供水补偿作用及优化配置研究[J]. 水力发电学报, 2011, 30(1): 31-38. (FENG Feng, XU Shi-guo, LIU Jian-wei, et al. Water Compensation and Optimal Allocation of Regional Flood Resources[J]. Journal of Hydroelectric Engineering, 2011, 30(1): 31-38.(in Chinese))
[2] 李俊,宋松柏,何灏川,等.基于多目标双层规划模型的汛期分期研究[J]. 应用基础与工程科学学报,2021,29(4):807-822.(LI Jun,SONG Song-bai,HE Hao-chuan,et al. Study on the Flood Season Division Based on Multi-objective Bi-level Programming Model[J]. Journal of Basic Science and Engineering,2021,29(4):807-822.(in Chinese))
[3] 周惠成, 王福兴, 梁国华. 碧流河水库后汛期汛限水位及控制运用方式[J]. 水科学进展, 2009, 20(6): 857-862. (ZHOU Hui-cheng, WANG Fu-xing, LIANG Guo-hua. Decision-making on Reservoir Flood Control Level and Its Control Manner in Post-flooding Seasons for Biliuhe Reservoir[J]. Advances in Water Science, 2009, 20(6): 857-862.(in Chinese))
[4] 李英海, 夏青青, 常文娟, 等. 水库汛限水位确定方法研究综述[J]. 水资源与水工程学报, 2020, 31(5): 127-134. (LI Ying-hai, XIA Qing-qing, CHANG Wen-juan, et al. Review of the Methods of Reservoir's Limiting Water Level during Flood Season[J]. Journal of Water Resources and Water Engineering,2020,31(5):127-134.(in Chinese))
[5] 郭倩,刘攀,徐高洪,等.基于汛期平均流量评价李庄洪水汛期分期研究[J].水力发电学报,2012,31(4):39-43.(GUO Qian,LIU Pan,XU Gao-hong,et al.Evaluate Flood Seasonality of Lizhuang Station Using Mean Design Discharge Criteria[J]. Journal of Hydroelectric Engineering,2012,31(4):39-43.(in Chinese))
[6] 王丽学, 孙晓东, 李学森, 等. 汛期分期定量分析方法在汤河水库中的应用研究[J]. 水电能源科学, 2011, 29(3): 44-47. (WANG Li-xue, SUN Xiao-dong, LI Xue-sen, et al. Application of Quantitative Analysis Methods of Stage Flood Period to Tanghe Reservoir[J]. Water Resources and Power, 2011, 29(3): 44-47.(in Chinese))
[7] 薄会娟, 董晓华, 邓霞. 三峡水库汛期分期方法研究[J]. 人民黄河, 2011, 33(2): 43-44. (BO Hui-juan, DONG Xiao-hua, DENG Xia. Study on Staging Method of Three Gorges Reservoir in Flood Season[J]. Yellow River, 2011, 33(2): 43-44.(in Chinese))
[8] 李晓英, 张琰, 童泽淳. 水库汛限水位控制多目标协同决策研究[J]. 水力发电学报, 2022, 41(2): 31-42. (LI Xiao-ying, ZHANG Yan, TONG Ze-chun. Study on Multi-objective Cooperative Decision Making of Flood Control Water Levels of Reservoirs[J]. Journal of Hydroelectric Engineering, 2022, 41(2): 31-42.(in Chinese))
[9] 贾敏, 母晓妃. 模糊集分析法在水库汛期分期中的应用[J]. 水资源与水工程学报, 2015, 26(2): 178-181. (JIA Min, MU Xiao-fei. Application of Fuzzy Sets Analysis Method in Staging Flood Season of Reservoir[J]. Journal of Water Resources and Water Engineering, 2015, 26(2): 178-181.(in Chinese))
[10] 魏炜,莫崇勋,刘俐,等.流域降雨量分形方法在水库汛期分期中的应用[J].人民黄河,2014,36(10):39-41.(WEI Wei,MO Chong-xun,LIU Li,et al. Application of Watershed Rainfall Fractal Theory in Reservoir Flood Season Staging[J]. Yellow River, 2014, 36(10): 39-41.(in Chinese))
[11] 高波, 刘克琳, 王银堂, 等. 系统聚类法在水库汛期分期中的应用[J]. 水利水电技术, 2005, 36(6): 1-5. (GAO Bo, LIU Ke-lin, WANG Yin-tang, et al. Application of System Clustering Method to Dividing Flood Season of Reservoir[J]. Water Resources and Hydropower Engineering, 2005, 36(6): 1-5.(in Chinese))
[12] 许钰沐, 牛秀岭. 基于改进的最优分割法的不同论域对汛期分期影响研究[J]. 水力发电, 2019, 45(11): 19-22, 116. (XU Yu-mu, NIU Xiu-ling. Study on the Influence of Different Domains on Flood Season Division Based on Improved Optimal Dissection Method[J]. Water Power, 2019, 45(11): 19-22, 116.(in Chinese))
[13] 李俊.基于改进模糊集分析法的汛期分期[J].长江科学院院报,2017,34(12):12-16.(LI Jun.Flood Season Staging Based on Improved Fuzzy Set Analysis[J]. Journal of Yangtze River Scientific Research Institute,2017,34(12):12-16.(in Chinese))
[14] 刘攀,郭生练,李玮,等.用多目标遗传算法优化设计水库分期汛限水位[J].系统工程理论与实践,2007,27(4):81-90.(LIU Pan,GUO Sheng-lian,LI Wei,et al.Optimal Design of Reservoir Seasonal Flood Control Level by Using Multi-objective Genetic Algorithm[J]. Systems Engineering-Theory & Practice,2007,27(4):81-90.(in Chinese))
[15] 王才君,郭生练,刘攀,等.三峡水库动态汛限水位洪水调度风险指标及综合评价模型研究[J].水科学进展,2004,15(3):376-381.(WANG Cai-jun,GUO Sheng-lian,LIU Pan,et al.Risk Criteria and Comprehensive Evaluation Model for the Operation of Three Gorges Reservoir under Dynamic Flood Limit Water Level[J]. Advances in Water Science,2004,15(3):376-381.(in Chinese))
[16] 吕巳奇, 王建群, 焦钰, 等. 基于协同的水库汛限水位控制多目标分析[J]. 人民黄河, 2019, 41(5): 23-27. (LÜ Si-qi, WANG Jian-qun, JIAO Yu, et al. Multi-objective Synergistic Analysis of Control Schemes of the Limited Water Level of Reservoir in Flood Season[J]. Yellow River, 2019, 41(5): 23-27.(in Chinese))
[17] 杨逾, 郑志明. 基于范例推理的软基处理评价方案研究[J]. 长江科学院院报, 2015, 32(12): 93-97. (YANG Yu, ZHENG Zhi-ming. Study on Scheme Evaluation of Soft Foundation Treatment Using Case-based Reasoning[J]. Journal of Yangtze River Scientific Research Institute, 2015, 32(12): 93-97.(in Chinese))
[18] 谢季坚,刘承平. 模糊数学方法及其应用[M]. 2版. 武汉: 华中理工大学出版社, 2000. (XIE Ji-jian, LIU Cheng-ping. Fuzzy Mathematics Methods and Their Applications[M]. Edition 2.Wuhan: Huazhong University of Technology Press, 2000.(in Chinese))
[19] 蒋海艳, 莫崇勋, 韦逗逗, 等. 水库汛期分期研究综述[J]. 水利水电科技进展, 2012, 32(3): 75-80. (JIANG Hai-yan, MO Chong-xun, WEI Dou-dou, et al. Review of Reservoir Flood Season Staging[J]. Advances in Science and Technology of Water Resources, 2012, 32(3): 75-80.(in Chinese))
[20] SL 44—2006, 水利水电工程设计洪水计算规范[S]. 北京: 中国水利水电出版社, 2006.(SL 44—2006, Regulation for Calculating Design Flood of Water Resources and Hydropower Projects[S]. Beijing: China Water & Power Press, 2006. (in Chinese))
[21] WANG H, XIAO W, WANG J, et al. The Impact of Climate Change on the Duration and Division of Flood Season in the Fenhe River Basin, China[J]. Water, 2016, 8(3): 105.
[22] 韩海辉, 高婷, 易欢, 等. 基于变点分析法提取地势起伏度: 以青藏高原为例[J]. 地理科学, 2012, 32(1): 101-104. (HAN Hai-hui, GAO Ting, YI Huan, et al. Extraction of Relief Amplitude Based on Change Point Method: A Case Study on the Tibetan Plateau[J]. Scientia Geographica Sinica, 2012, 32(1): 101-104.(in Chinese))
[23] 王忠静, 朱金峰, 尚文绣. 洪水资源利用风险适度性分析[J]. 水科学进展, 2015, 26(1): 27-33. (WANG Zhong-jing, ZHU Jin-feng, SHANG Wen-xiu. Determining the Risk-moderate Criterion for Flood Utilization[J]. Advances in Water Science, 2015, 26(1): 27-33.(in Chinese))
[24] 张验科,张佳新,俞洪杰,等.考虑动态洪水预见期的水库运行水位动态控制[J].水力发电学报,2019,38(9):64-72.(ZHANG Yan-ke,ZHANG Jia-xin,YU Hong-jie,et al.Dynamic Control of Reservoir Operating Stage Considering Dynamic Flood Forecast Period[J]. Journal of Hydroelectric Engineering,2019,38(9):64-72.(in Chinese))
[25] 赖童瑶. 水库汛期分期及汛限水位调整研究: 以江西省七一水库为例[D]. 南昌: 南昌大学, 2020. (LAI Tong-yao. Study on Flood Season Staging and Adjustment of Flood Limited Level on Qiyi Reservoir in Jiangxi Province[D]. Nanchang: Nanchang University, 2020. (in Chinese))
[26] 黄凯, 冯平. 基于非一致性水文序列的水库极限防洪风险复核分析[J]. 水力发电学报, 2016, 35(1): 28-37. (HUANG Kai, FENG Ping. Recheck Analysis of Reservoir Extreme Flood Control Risk Using Inconsistent Hydrological Sequences[J]. Journal of Hydroelectric Engineering, 2016, 35(1): 28-37.(in Chinese))
[27] 麻荣永. 土石坝风险分析方法及应用[M]. 北京: 科学出版社, 2004. (MA Rong-yong. Risk Analysis Method and Application of Earth-Rock Dam[M]. Beijing: Science Press, 2004.(in Chinese))
[28] 熊立华, 邝韵琪, 于坤霞, 等. 年径流频率分析的一次二阶矩法及其应用[J]. 水科学进展, 2017, 28(3): 390-397. (XIONG Li-hua, KUANG Yun-qi, YU Kun-xia, et al. Derived Moment Approach for Analyzing the Annual Runoff Frequency and Its Application[J]. Advances in Water Science, 2017, 28(3): 390-397.(in Chinese))
[29] 陈炯宏, 郭生练, 刘攀, 等. 汛限水位动态控制的防洪极限风险分析[J]. 南水北调与水利科技, 2008, 6(5): 38-40, 59. (CHEN Jiong-hong, GUO Sheng-lian, LIU Pan, et al. Extreme Risk Analysis of Flood Season Limited Water Level[J]. South-to-North Water Transfers and Water Science & Technology, 2008, 6(5): 38-40, 59.(in Chinese))
[30] 咸京,顾圣平,林乐曼,等.基于随机模拟的汛期水库超蓄调度风险分析[J].人民黄河,2018,40(5):39-43.(XIAN Jing,GU Sheng-ping,LIN Le-man, et al. Risk Analysis of Reservoir Over-storage at Flood Season Based on Stochastic Simulation Method[J]. Yellow River,2018,40(5):39-43.(in Chinese))
[31] 黄德春, 胡浩东, 田鸣. 中国生态—经济协同发展实证研究: 基于复合系统协调度模型[J]. 环境保护, 2018, 46(14): 39-44. (HUANG De-chun, HU Hao-dong, TIAN Ming. The Empirical Analysis on Synergetic Development of Ecology and Economy Composite System in China[J]. Environmental Protection, 2018, 46(14): 39-44.(in Chinese))
[32] 孟庆松, 韩文秀. 复合系统协调度模型研究[J]. 天津大学学报, 2000, 33(4): 444-446. (MENG Qing-song, HAN Wen-xiu. Study of the Coordinating Measurement Model with Respect to Composite System[J]. Journal of Tianjin University, 2000, 33(4): 444-446.(in Chinese))