Reliability analysis on highly weathered rock slope stability is carried out by means of a combination of first order two moment, Monte-Carlo simulation and finite difference numerical analysis. Firstly, the rock slope is treated as a continuous medium, and the characteristic parameters of the highly weathered rock slope are obtained by using equivalent continuum model. Subsequently, the material parameters of rock slope are defined as two-dimensional variable parameters, and the uncertainty model of the variable parameters is established by employing the first order two moments method. Then the spatial variability of geotechnical parameters is simulated by Monte-Carlo method. Finally, the influence of covariance and autocorrelation distance on safety factor and reliability index is researched by using finite difference method. Results show that the spatial variability of the geotechnical parameters has great influence on the evaluation of specific rock slope stability. The safety assessment for highly weathered rock slope could not be determined by single parameter. As covariance of rock slope parameter increases, the reliability index and safety factor reduce gradually; and with the increase of autocorrelation distance, reliability index increases gradually. Therefore, the effects of spatial variability of geotechnical parameters of rock slope should be considered in conventional slope analysis and design process.
Key words
rock slope /
reliability analysis /
highly weathered /
spatial variation characteristics /
stability
{{custom_sec.title}}
{{custom_sec.title}}
{{custom_sec.content}}
References
[1] 谭晓慧. 边坡稳定分析的模糊概率法[J]. 合肥工业大学学报(自然科学版), 2001,24(3): 442-446.
[2] 杨建贵, 蔡 新, 张永乐. 边坡稳定的模糊随机可靠性分析[J]. 河海大学学报(自然科学版), 2002,(1): 58-62.
[3] 王 宇, 贾志刚, 李 晓,等. 边坡模糊随机可靠性分析的模糊点估计法[J]. 岩土力学, 2012,33(6):1795-1800.
[4] 杨 坤, 周创兵, 张 昕, 等. 边坡块状结构岩体模糊随机可靠性分析[J]. 岩石力学与工程学报, 2006,25(2): 407-413.
[5] 王亚军. 基于模糊随机理论的广义可靠度在边坡稳定性分析中的应用[J]. 岩土工程技术, 2004,18(5): 217-223.
[6] 蒋建群, 徐 辉. 边坡稳定模糊随机可靠度评价及其应用[J]. 水力发电学报, 2006,25(4): 126-130.
[7] 贾厚华,贺怀建. 边坡稳定模糊随机可靠度分析[J]. 岩土力学, 2003,24(4): 657-660.
[8] 付士根. 基于模糊随机可靠性的边坡稳定性评价[J]. 中国安全生产科学技术, 2012,8(8): 98-101.
[9] 陆黎斌, 陈璞磊. 基于模糊随机理论的边坡可靠度分析[J]. 低温建筑技术, 2014,36(1): 140-142.
[10]DODAGOUDAR G R, VENKATACHALAM G. Reliability Analysis of Slopes Using Fuzzy Sets Theory[J]. Computers and Geotechnics, 2000, 27(2): 101 - 115.
[11]GIASI C I,MASI P,CHERUBINI C.Probabilistic and Fuzzy Reliability Analysis of a Sample Slope near Aliano[J]. Engineering Geology, 2003, 67(3): 391 - 402.
[12]LI D, CHEN Y, LU W, et al. Stochastic Response Surface Method for Reliability Analysis of Rock Slopes Involving Correlated Non-normal Variables[J]. Computers and Geotechnics, 2011,38(1): 58-68.
[13]庞小朝,周小文,温庆博,等. 随机场的模拟及其在堤坡可靠性分析中的应用[J]. 长江科学学院院报, 2002, 19(4):27-29.