长江科学院院报 ›› 2024, Vol. 41 ›› Issue (7): 72-78.DOI: 10.11988/ckyyb.20240094

• 水灾害 • 上一篇    下一篇

汉北河流域强人类活动影响下的暴雨洪水模拟方法

黄曼丽1, 吴凤燕2, 翁朝晖1, 丁俊芝3, 马婉丽1, 黄雍1, 徐静1, 李海建1   

  1. 1.湖北省水利水电规划勘测设计院有限公司,武汉 430064;
    2.湖北省水利水电科学研究院 湖北省国际灌排研究培训中心,武汉 430070;
    3.鄂北地区水资源配置工程建设与管理局(筹),武汉 430064
  • 收稿日期:2024-01-29 修回日期:2024-04-07 出版日期:2024-07-01 发布日期:2024-07-08
  • 通讯作者: 吴凤燕(1981-),女,浙江义乌人,正高级工程师,博士,主要从事水文模拟、防洪排涝调度、水资源配置等方面的科研和规划工作。E-mail:12801787@qq.com
  • 作者简介:黄曼丽(1980-),女,湖北仙桃人,高级工程师,硕士,主要从事水利水电工程规划、水资源规划方面的工作。E-mail:981644630@qq.com
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金项目(52209016);省财政科研项目(420000-2023-218-006-001)

Simulation Methods for Torrential Rain and Flood Events in the Hanbei River Basin under the Influence of Intensive Human Activities

HUANG Man-li1, WU Feng-yan2, WENG Chao-hui1, DING Jun-zhi3, MA Wan-li1, HUANG Yong1, XU Jing1, LI Hai-jian1   

  1. 1. Hubei Institute of Water Resources Survey and Design Co.,Ltd.,Wuhan 430064,China;
    2. Hubei International Irrigation and Drainage Research and Training Center of Hubei Water Resources Research Institute,Wuhan 430070,China;
    3. Construction & Management Bureau of North Hubei Water Transfer Project,Wuhan 430064,China
  • Received:2024-01-29 Revised:2024-04-07 Published:2024-07-01 Online:2024-07-08

摘要: 为了研究人类活动影响下丘陵到平原区流域洪水模拟的关键问题,包括流域内降雨空间分布不均、丘陵平原产汇流差异大、下垫面受水利工程建设和调度影响等复杂边界条件,并提出相应的解决办法和模型,以汉北河为例,将大流域划分为11个单元,通过分析场次暴雨在各单元的空间分布解决降雨空间不均的问题;各单元根据各自下垫面条件进行API水文模型参数的率定,解决了丘陵平原产汇流差异大的问题,提高了模型参数与实际情况的贴合度。在模型中,将河流改道、水库、蓄滞洪区、水闸、泵站建设和调度、土地利用等人类活动对汇流的影响纳入物理模型和产汇流模拟中,以便构建符合实际调度的下垫面产汇流体系。模拟计算的洪峰的纳什系数NSE均在0.85以上,模拟结果表明洪峰流量、水位及峰现时间与实测值吻合良好。

关键词: 暴雨洪水模拟, 水文水动力嵌套耦合模型, 汉北河流域, 人类活动影响

Abstract: This paper aims to investigate key issues related to simulating floods from hilly to plain areas due to human activities and propose corresponding solutions and models. These issues encompass the uneven spatial distribution of rainfall within the basin, substantial differences in runoff generation and convergence between hilly and plain areas, and complex boundary conditions influenced by water conservancy engineering construction and scheduling. To address these issues, the Hanbei River basin is divided into 11 units as a case study. The uneven spatial distribution of rainfall is tackled by analyzing the spatial distribution of extreme rainfall events in each unit. Calibration of each unit’s hydrological model parameters is conducted based on its underlying surface conditions using the API model, thereby improving the model’s fit to the actual conditions and addressing the significant differences in runoff generation and convergence between hilly and plain areas. The model incorporates the impacts of human activities such as river diversion, reservoirs, flood storage areas, sluices, pump stations construction, and scheduling, as well as land use, into the physical model and runoff simulation. This integration enables the construction of a runoff system that accurately reflects actual scheduling scenarios. The NSE values of simulated peak flows for all scenarios exceed 0.85, indicating strong agreement between simulated and measured values for peak flow, water level, and peak time.

Key words: simulation of heavy rain and flooding, coupled hydrological and hydrodynamic model, Hanbei River basin, influence of human activities

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