基于GRA-TOPSIS模型的宜水幸福河综合评价

刘聚涛, 李孙鹏, 胡芳, 刁造伟

长江科学院院报 ›› 2026, Vol. 43 ›› Issue (2) : 211-219.

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长江科学院院报 ›› 2026, Vol. 43 ›› Issue (2) : 211-219. DOI: 10.11988/ckyyb.20250508
河流伦理建构研究专栏

基于GRA-TOPSIS模型的宜水幸福河综合评价

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Comprehensive Evaluation of Yishui Happy River Based on GRA-TOPSIS Model

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摘要

为构建适配江西省省情的幸福河湖评价体系,以江西省幸福河湖建设任务为基础框架,从平安、文明、健康、宜居、人文、富民六个维度提出幸福河湖内涵,并以此为理论支撑,构建江西省幸福河湖评价指标体系,构建基于灰色关联分析法(GRA)和优劣解距离法(TOPSIS)的综合评价模型,以宜水为研究案例,对2019—2023年宜水幸福等级开展动态评价,结合权重敏感性试验验证该评价体系的适用性。结果表明:2019—2023年间,宜水的综合相对贴近度分别为0.418 9、0.491 1、0.547 3、0.602 4、0.713 6,年均增长率为14.04%,与2019年相比,2023年综合相对贴近度提升了1.703 5倍,综合幸福等级从Ⅲ级合格水平提升至Ⅰ级优水平,说明宜水在幸福河湖规划建设推进过程中成效显著。从准则层指标来看,除“富民”呈波动态势外,其余准则层指标相对贴近度均保持逐年增长态势。“富民”是影响宜水幸福等级的主要方面,其中水资源开发利用率与万元GDP用水量为关键影响因子,未来宜水幸福河湖建设应重点强化节水管理、培育特色经济产业、深化跨区域协同治理等。权重敏感性试验结果验证了本研究构建的GRA-TOPSIS综合评价模型具有良好的适用性和科学性,研究成果可为江西省其他河湖的幸福河湖建设成效评估提供技术支撑与参考依据。

Abstract

[Objective] We constructed an evaluation system for Happy Rivers tailored to the characteristics of small and medium-sized rivers in Jiangxi Province, and quantitatively evaluated the happiness level of Yishui River from 2019 to 2023 using an innovative comprehensive evaluation model. The study aims to provide a scientific basis for the construction of Happy Rivers and Lakes in Yishui River and similar river basins in Jiangxi Province, while verifying the applicability of the combined evaluation model for assessing the water environment of small and medium-sized rivers. [Methods] Guided by the framework for constructing Happy Rivers and Lakes in Jiangxi Province, we developed a three-layer system of “target layer - criterion layer - indicator layer” and selected 18 indicators, such as the compliance rate of flood control standard and the satisfaction degree of ecological base flow. The independence of the indicators was verified using correlation principal component analysis. To overcome the limitations of single weighting methods, the “BWM-EWM-minimum entropy” combined weighting method was employed to balance theoretical importance and actual data contribution. Integrating the advantage of GRA in describing dynamic trends with the comparative strength of TOPSIS in defining ideal states, this study calculated the Euclidean distance and grey correlation coefficient between samples and both the positive and negative ideal solutions to obtain the relative closeness and classify happiness levels. [Results] The relative closeness of the criterion layers for Yishui River was 0.418 9, 0.491 1, 0.547 3, 0.602 4 and 0.713 6 for the years 2019 to 2023, respectively, with an average annual growth rate of 14.04%. Compared to 2019, the relative closeness in 2023 increased by 1.7035 times, and the comprehensive happiness level improved from the qualified level of grade III in 2019 to the excellent level of grade I in 2023. These results indicated that Yishui River has achieved significant progress under the planning and construction of Happy Rivers and Lakes. From the perspective of each criterion layer, except for “enriching the people”, the relative closeness and happiness level of the other five criterion layers showed an increasing trend each year. The overall level of “enriching the people” exhibited an upward trend, improving from the qualified level of grade III in 2019 to the good level of grade II in 2023. “Enriching the people” emerged as the primary aspect affecting the happiness level of Yishui, and the development and utilization rate of water resources and water use per 10 000 yuan GDP were identified as key factors. [Conclusion] The construction of the Yishui Happy River and Lake has achieved remarkable results, but the dimension of “enriching the people” remains a bottleneck. Future efforts should focus on overcoming this bottleneck by strengthening water-saving management, developing water-related characteristic industries, and promoting regional cooperation. As the research data cannot reflect long-term change patterns, future studies should extend the monitoring period and improve the indicator system by incorporating county-level statistical data.

关键词

幸福河湖评价 / 指标体系 / GRA-TOPSIS综合评价模型 / 组合赋权 / 宜水 / 幸福河湖建设

Key words

Happy River evaluation / indicator system / GRA-TOPSIS comprehensive evaluation model / combined weighting / Yishui River / Happy River construction

引用本文

导出引用
刘聚涛, 李孙鹏, 胡芳, . 基于GRA-TOPSIS模型的宜水幸福河综合评价[J]. 长江科学院院报. 2026, 43(2): 211-219 https://doi.org/10.11988/ckyyb.20250508
LIU Ju-tao, LI Sun-peng, HU Fang, et al. Comprehensive Evaluation of Yishui Happy River Based on GRA-TOPSIS Model[J]. Journal of Changjiang River Scientific Research Institute. 2026, 43(2): 211-219 https://doi.org/10.11988/ckyyb.20250508
中图分类号: TV21 (水资源调2查与水利规划)    X703.5 (助剂)   

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With the development of animal husbandry around the city of Qiqihar in Heilongjiang Province, it is urgent to identify silage maize ( Zea mays) varieties that are suitable for cultivation in this area to support sustainable development. In this study, 15 maize varieties, including common maize, fresh corn, grain and feed maize, and silage maize were cultivated in a field experiment. Indexes including the growth period, agronomic traits, yield, and nutritional components were measured, and a comparative evaluation using grey relational analysis was conducted to rank the cultivars in terms of their overall production performance. The number of days from sowing to harvest (when the kernel milk line was between 1/2 and 3/4) in the 15 maize varieties ranged from 119 to 134 days, with Jingke silage 932, Jingke 968, and Xianda 304 maturing later than the other 12 varieties. Among all the tested varieties, Jingke silage 932 had the highest values for plant height, ear height, number of green leaves, and ear length. Jingke waxy 768 had the largest stem diameter (3.05 cm). Xianyu 1506 had the shortest ear bald tip length (0.85 cm). The fresh weight yields of Xianda 511, Xianyu 1506, Heyu 321, and Jingke silage 932 were higher than 60 t·ha–1; and the dry matter yields of Lihe 328 (21.42 t·ha–1), Xianyu 1506 (20.59 t·ha–1), Heyu 321 (20.13 t·ha–1), and Xianda 511 (19.84 t·ha–1) were significantly higher than those of the other varieties except Xianda 304 and Jingke silage 932 ( P<0.05). The starch content was significantly higher in Xianyu 1506 (34.79%) and Xianda 511 (33.96%) than in the other varieties ( P<0.05). Xianda 304 had the lowest contents of neutral detergent fiber and acid detergent fiber; and Xianda 205 had the highest crude protein content (7.44%). According to the results of a comprehensive comparative analysis using grey relational analysis, Xianda 511 and Xianyu 1506 had the highest comprehensive score, demonstrating the best overall production performance. Therefore, these two varieties are recommended as silage maize suitable for cultivation in the third temperature zone of Qiqihar.

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基金

江西水利科技项目(202124ZDKT12)

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