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西藏高原分区域河流健康评价体系应用
Application of Regionalized Health Assessment System for Rivers on Xizang Plateau
西藏高原地域辽阔、自然条件严苛且河流对气候变化高度敏感,为保障区域水资源安全和生态系统稳定,亟需开展区域化、多维度的河流健康评价,构建一套综合健康评价体系,包含自然结构、生态环境和社会服务功能3个准则层及12项指标。根据西藏的地形和气候特征,划分研究区域为藏南河谷地区、藏北高原湖盆区和藏东高山峡谷区,并针对各区域制定了差异化评价标准。采用博弈论的组合赋权方法对指标权重进行优化,选取金沙江西藏段、年楚河和扎加藏布3条典型河流进行评价分析。结果表明,扎加藏布得分为95.51分,处于“非常健康”状态;金沙江西藏段得分为91.85分,建议加强堤防建设;年楚河得分为81.57分,健康状况相对较弱,主要面临水土流失和连通性不足等问题。同时,基于评价结果提出加强水土保持、完善生态流量泄放以及推进防洪工程等措施建议。
[Objective] Rivers on the Xizang Plateau are characterized by fragile ecosystems, high sensitivity to climate change, and significant regional differences. To ensure regional water security and ecosystem stability, it is crucial to conduct regionalized and multi-dimensional river health assessments. [Methods] A comprehensive river health assessment system comprising 12 indicators was developed based on the three criterion layers of natural structure, ecological environment, and social service functions. Based on the topographic and climatic characteristics of the Xizang Plateau, the study area was divided into three regions: Southern Xizang Valley, Northern Xizang Plateau Lake Basin, and Eastern Xizang Alpine Gorge. Differentiated assessment criteria were formulated for each region. The indicator weights were determined by combining the fuzzy analytic hierarchy process and an improved entropy weight method based on game theory to enhance the rationality and stability of the assessment. Three typical rivers from different regions—the Xizang section of the Jinsha River, the Nianchu River, and the Zagya Zangbo—were selected for comprehensive assessment through field investigation, remote sensing monitoring, and hydrological data collection. [Results] The health status of the three rivers exhibited significant regional differences: The Zagya Zangbo scored 95.51, indicating a “very healthy” status. Its natural structure and social service functions were in excellent condition. However, due to the high-altitude characteristics of the Northern Xizang Plateau, dissolved oxygen levels were slightly lower, and the self-purification capacity of rivers in this region was generally low. The Xizang section of the Jinsha River scored 91.85, classified as "healthy". Its natural structure and ecological environment were generally good. However, in the Eastern Xizang Alpine Gorge region, the riverbanks had significant elevation differences, resulting in poor riverbank stability and low flood control compliance rates. Additionally, the low branch sinuosity made the area prone to mountain flood disasters. The Nianchu River scored 81.57, barely reaching the “healthy” level. Rivers in the Southern Xizang Valley were heavily influenced by human activities. In the middle and lower reaches of the Nianchu River, soil erosion was severe, and the natural status of the riverbanks scored low. Furthermore, the ecological flow requirements were inadequately met, the integrity of zoobenthos and the water quality indicators in the downstream sections were poor, and some flood control facilities in certain river sections were aging, posing safety risks. [Conclusions] Based on the assessment results, this study proposes measures such as strengthening soil and water conservation,improving ecological flow release,and advancing flood control projects.
高原河流 / 健康评价 / 博弈论赋权 / 金沙江 / 年楚河 / 扎加藏布
plateau rivers / health assessment / game theory-based weighting / Jinsha River / Nianchu River / Zagya Zangbo
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2010年水利部发布《全国重要河湖健康评价技术文件》,并在全国开展河湖健康评价试点工作。依据技术文件中的评价体系(简称“试点评价体系”)对太湖健康状况进行评估,将评价结果与基于水利部公益性科研专项建立的专门用于太湖健康状况评估的综合指标体系(简称“综合指标体系”)的评价结果进行比较。结果表明,试点评价体系在太湖具备良好的适用性,2011年太湖处于亚健康状态,水体富营养化和蓝藻水华问题是现阶段太湖处于亚健康的主要原因。另外,本文指出了试点评价体系存在的不足并提出了相关建议。
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Under the background of global change, the ecosystem of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau has been affected and threatened by both nature and human activities, and the ecological risks are intensifying. The Qinghai-Tibet Plateau is a relatively independent geographic unit with a high average altitude and complex and diverse landforms. Its fragile alpine ecosystem is extremely sensitive to global climate change. In recent years, the population of the plateau has increased and the process of urbanization has accelerated, the scale and intensity of human activities have increased significantly, and ecological risks have increased. At present, the research results of ecological risk assessment are mainly found in local areas of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau. This article, aiming at understanding the source of ecological risks, analyzes the spatial distribution of risks and their causes. The ecological risk assessment of the entire plateau is expected to provide references for the identification, management and early warning of regional ecological risks. We establish an ecological risk assessment index system for the study area, which includes 13 ecological risk source indicators, 10 ecological vulnerability indicators, and 7 ecological risk management capability indicators. Then we select the official remote sensing product data with a high spatial resolution, according to the characteristics of the data which are divided into numerical and non-numerical data. Using ArcGIS 10.2 to normalize the numerical data, according to the contribution rate to ecological risk, the non-numerical data are graded, and the ecological risk evaluation optimization model is used to comprehensively evaluate the ecological risk of the plateau. The results showed that: overall ecological risk of the study area is relatively low, with low and very low ecological risk areas accounting for 55.84%, extremely high risk areas being only 7.19%, high risk areas 11.95%, and medium ecological risk areas 25.02%, and the extremely low and low ecological risk areas account for more than half of the plateau area; medium ecological risk areas are mainly distributed in areas with high intensity of human activities. The impact of human activities on the eco-environment of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau cannot be ignored; the extremely high-risk areas and medium-risk areas form a "C"-shaped pattern; the low-risk areas in the hinterland of the plateau have higher altitudes, severe cold climates, and fragile eco-environments, but the strengthening of ecological management measures has greatly reduced the ecological risk in the study area. The overall ecological risk of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau is mainly controlled by natural factors, and the impact of human activities on the eco-environment cannot be ignored. The establishment of national nature reserves or national parks to protect the ecological environment can greatly reduce its ecological risks. It is necessary to pay special attention to areas with high intensity of human activities on the plateau, where their ecological risks have reached a medium intensity. Creating a new pattern of harmonious coexistence between humans and nature, and avoiding excessive human intervention in the eco-environment on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau is an important way to reduce ecological risks in the future. |
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On basis of the monthly data for the period 1961-2010 collected from 38 observational stations over the Tibet Plateau,by means of the climate tendency rate,accumulative anomaly and GIS spatial interpolation methods,the temporal-spatial variations of climatic variables over the Tibet in the recent 50 years were systematically studied,and the differences of climate change in different sub-regions were shown. The results indicated that: in the last 50 years,Tibet showed an increase of sunshine (with the linear tendency rate of 3.04 h/10 a),temperature(0.58 ℃/10 a),precipitation(12.5 mm/10 a),decrease of wind speed(0.13 m·s<sup>-1</sup>·10 a<sup>-1</sup>),and slightly rising trend of the average relative humidity(0.1%/10 a). Distribution and change of the climate facters in different regions divided by geomorphologic situation are remarkable. Sunshine is longest in the northern Tibet Plateau,with a trend of decrease,while shortest in high mountains and deep valleys regions of east Tibet,but increased obviously. Annual mean temperature is highest in Lake Basin Valley Region of south Tibet,with slowly rising rate,and lowest in northern Tibet Plateau,warming fastest. The most average annual precipitation is in northern Tibet Plateau,while least in east Tibet,and precipitation increases obviously in Lake Basin Valley Region of south Tibet. Average wind speed is maximum in northern Tibet Plateau,minimum in high mountains and deep valleys regions of east Tibet,and all regions showed increased first and then decreased trend. Relative humidity is high in Himalaya Mountains region and in high mountains and deep valleys regions of east Tibet,low in northern Tibet Plateau and in Lake Basin Valley Region of south Tibet,and increase in all regions.
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Evaluation of rural groundwater quality is an important basis to ensuring the safety of drinking water in rural areas. On account of the importance of weight value to the TOPSIS (Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to an Ideal Solution) model, combinatorial weighting and optimization on the subjective weight and the objectiveweight respectively determined by the fuzzy analytic hierarchy process (FAHP) and the entropy weight method are carried out based on the game theory set model. In the meantime, a “virtual negative ideal point” is defined to replace the traditional negative ideal point, hence avoiding the equivalent Euclidean distance from the sample point respectively to the ideal point and to the negative ideal point. With the water quality monitoring data of five typical villages and towns in Deyang city as evaluation object, the water quality grade is determined by calculating the relative closeness degree. The results of the present model are compared with the evaluation results of F method, the Entropy-TOPSIS and the FAHP-TOPSIS model, which proves that the results of the improved TOPSIS evaluation model is objective, effective and practical. Besides, the present model could also accurately reflect the groundwater quality grade and the deviation from grading standard.
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