针对岩质边坡安全稳定性评价的层次性与模糊性等不确定性问题,将岩质边坡安全稳定性评价作为一个模糊系统,充分考虑地质现状、工程现状、环境条件及监测表现4个方面及其影响因素,构建了包括目标层、准则层、指标层多个层次的岩质边坡安全稳定性评价指标体系;将主成分分析法与改进层次分析法相结合,提出了一种能同时顾及主、客观权重的赋权方法,可提高指标权重的合理性与准确性;运用模糊理论构造隶属度函数,进而建立岩质边坡安全稳定性的多层次模糊综合评价模型。实例应用表明,该模型可行,操作简便,结果符合实际,为岩质边坡安全稳定性评价提供了一条新途径。
Abstract
In view of the uncertainty such as hierarchy and fuzziness of assessing rock slope’s safety and stability, we considered the stability assessment as a fuzzy system and took geological conditions, engineering status, environmental conditions and monitoring performance as well as their influence factors into account, hence building an index system which contains multiple layers including target layer, criterion layer and index layer. Principal component analysis and the improved analytic hierarchy process were combined to present a method which takes into consideration the subjective and objective weights at the same time and improves the accuracy and rationality of index weights. Membership functions were constructed by using fuzzy theory. Finally the comprehensive multi-level fuzzy model for assessing rock slope safety and stability was established. Practical application shows that the model is feasible and easy to operate and the result is in accordance with the reality. The model provides a new approach for the assessment of rock slope’s safety and stability.
关键词
边坡安全稳定性 /
主成分分析法 /
组合赋权 /
模糊理论 /
综合评价
Key words
slope safety and stability /
principal component analysis /
combinatory weighting /
fuzzy theory /
comprehensive assessment
{{custom_sec.title}}
{{custom_sec.title}}
{{custom_sec.content}}
参考文献
[1] 夏开宗, 刘秀敏, 陈从新, 等. 考虑突变理论的顺层岩质边坡失稳研究[J]. 岩土力学, 2015, 36(2): 477-486.
[2] 王如宾, 徐卫亚, 孟永东, 等. 锦屏一级水电站左岸坝肩高边坡长期稳定性数值分析[J]. 岩石力学与工程学报, 2014, 33(增1): 3105-3113.
[3] 谈小龙, 徐卫亚, 梁桂兰. 可拓方法在岩石边坡整体安全评价中的应用[J]. 岩石力学与工程学报,2009,28(12):2503-2509.
[4] 赵 博, 徐卫亚, 梁桂兰. 基于熵权的边坡稳定性评价物元可拓模型及其应用[J]. 水电能源科学, 2013, 31(1): 119-122,114.
[5] 姜德义, 李光扬, 谢世平, 等. 基于神经网络法预测重庆高速公路边坡稳定性[J]. 地下空间与工程学报, 2008, 4(1): 152-156.
[6] 金永强, 苏怀智, 李子阳. 基于和声搜索的边坡稳定性投影寻踪聚类分析[J]. 水利学报, 2007,(增1): 682-686.
[7] 朱玉平, 莫海鸿. 灰关联分析法在岩质边坡稳定性评价中的应用[J]. 岩石力学与工程学报, 2004, 23(6): 915-919.
[8] 赵志峰, 徐卫亚. 基于突变理论的边坡安全稳定性稳定性综合评价[J]. 岩石力学与工程学报, 2007, 26(增1): 2707-2712.
[9] 马 毅, 王希良, 刘 振, 等. 基于模糊因素的岩质边坡地震稳定性多模型组合评价[J]. 岩土力学, 2011, 32(增1): 624-629.
[10]陈 滔, 邓建辉, 李林芮, 等. 强烈松弛岩质边坡变形特征与稳定性评价[J].岩石力学与工程学报, 2015,34(增1): 2607-2616.
[11]阎 石, 杜海涛, 于琦乐, 等. 顺层岩质高边坡的静力稳定性安全评价[J]. 防灾减灾工程学报, 2014, 34(4): 407-414.
[12]桓 颖, 张文静, 王 楠. 基于主成分分析的吉林西部地区农业水资源承载力评价[J]. 长江科学院院报,2014,31(9):11-16.
[13]段若晨, 王丰华, 顾承昱, 等. 采用改进层次分析法综合评估500kV输电线路防雷改造效果[J]. 高电压技术, 2014, 40(1): 131-137.
[14]黄 玮, 梁永辉. 可变模糊识别模型在黄土高边坡稳定性评价中的应用[J]. 土木工程学报, 2015, (增2): 246-251.
[15]徐奴文, 唐春安, 沙 椿,等. 锦屏一级水电站左岸边坡微震监测系统及其工程应用[J]. 岩石力学与工程学报, 2010, 29(5): 915-925.
基金
国家自然科学基金项目(51409139,51569014,51669013)